목차
About This Report iii
Summary iv
Figures and Tables vii
Chapter 1 Objective and Approach 1
Objective 1
Overview of Approach 1
Organization of This Report 1
Chapter 2 Environmental Scan 3
Methods 3
Peer-Reviewed and Grey Literature Search Strategies 3
Results 4
Peer-Reviewed and Grey Literature Search Results 4
Climate Threats and Health 4
Climate-Vulnerable Health Conditions in the United States 5
Climate-Vulnerable Populations and Locations 7
Climate Effects on Demand for Health Services and Drugs 8
Climate Effects on Medical Supply Chains 8
Chapter 3 Systems Dynamics Model 10
Methods 10
Medical Condition and Drug Sampling Strategies 10
Model Overview 12
Model Design 13
Assumptions and Limitations 16
Results 17
Climate Change and Demand for Metoprolol 18
Climate Change and Demand for Albuterol 21
Climate Change and Demand for Heparin 24
Climate Change and Demand for Donepezil 27
Chapter 4 Discussion and Future Directions 31
Discussion 31
Future Directions 32
Appendix A Environmental Scan Search Strategy 34
Appendix B Technical Model Details 40
Appendix C Model Inputs and Transformations 45
Appendix D Projected Prevalences and Percentage Changes in Deaths by Age Group for Each Condition 56
Abbreviations 64
References 65
