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The "clean energy transition" and the cost of job displacement in energy-intensive industries
(청정 에너지 전환과 에너지 집약적 산업에서의 일자리 상실 비용)

□ OECD 14개국의 에너지 집약적 산업(에너지 공급, 중공업 제조, 운송)에서의 일자리 상실 비용을 분석함

□ 에너지 공급 및 중공업 제조 산업에서 실직한 노동자들은 다른 산업에 비해 재취업에서 임금 감소와 일자리 불안정을 겪으며, 이는 해당 산업의 노동자와 기업 특성의 차이에 기인함
 - 이러한 산업의 실직자는 주로 고령, 낮은 기술 수준, 고임금 기업 출신이 많아 재취업에 어려움을 겪음

□ 연구는 에너지 전환이 경제 및 고용에 미치는 영향을 평가하며, 실직 비용 완화를 위한 정책적 시사점을 제시함

목차

Title page

Contents

Abstract 4

Résumé 5

Acknowledgements 6

1. Introduction 9

2. Data 11

Defining energy-intensive industries 11

Data sources and harmonisation 13

Descriptive statistics 15

3. Methodology 18

Defining the treatment 18

Balancing treatment and controls 19

Event study design 20

Decomposing earnings losses 21

Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition 22

4. Results 24

The cost of job displacement in energy-intensive industries on average across countries 24

The cost of job displacement in energy-intensive industries by country 25

The sources of earnings losses in energy-intensive industries by country 27

Firm- and worker-related wage losses in energy-intensive industries by country 27

The effects of job displacement on job mobility in energy-intensive industries 29

Potential mechanisms behind within-country differences in earnings losses 30

5. Policy implications 32

References 33

Annex A. Copyright and Disclaimers Notices 36

Table 1. Data sources 14

Table 2. Summary statistics of matched displaced-non-displaced worker samples by country 16

Table 3. Balance table 19

Figure 1. Classification of energy-intensive industries 13

Figure 2. Most energy-intensive industries face greater job displacement costs than other sectors 25

Figure 3. The sources of earnings losses between energy-intensive industries and the rest of the economy industries vary widely across sector and country 26

Figure 4. Larger wage losses mostly reflect higher firm-related losses, but vary across country and sector 28

Figure 5/Figure 4. Transitions across sectors, occupations and regions differ across sector 29

Figure 6/Figure 5. The composition of workers and firms drives differences in the cost of job displacement between energy-intensive sectors and the rest of the economy 30

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The "clean energy transition" and the cost of job displacement in energy-intensive industries

(청정 에너지 전환과 에너지 집약적 산업에서의 일자리 상실 비용)