About This Paper iii

Summary v

Tables ix

Recursive Self-Improvement and Automated AI Research and Development 1

  History and Current Status 1

  Why the Pace Is Uncertain and Why It Matters 5

  Policy Responses That Are Robust Across Scenarios 10

  Key Takeaways and Recommendations 17

  Conclusions 20

Abbreviations 21

References 22

About the Authors 28