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The changing wealth of nations 2024 : revisiting the measurement of comprehensive wealth
(2024년 국가의 부의 변화 : 포괄적 부의 측정 재검토)

목차

Title page

Contents

Acknowledgments 6

Preface 9

Executive Summary 14

I. Tracking Wealth to Monitor Economic Progress 28

1. Wealth as an Indicator of Sustainability 29

2. How the World Bank Measures Comprehensive Wealth 48

3. Global and Regional Trends in Wealth, 1995-2020 66

4. The Role of Limited Substitutability for Measuring Sustainability with CWON 86

II. Measuring Components of Comprehensive Wealth 98

5. The Nonrenewable Wealth of Nations 99

6. Valuation of Hydroelectric Resources 124

7. Forests and Agricultural Lands 146

8. Blue Natural Capital: Marine Fish Stocks, Aquaculture, and Mangrove Coastal Protection Services 163

9. Human Capital Wealth: Global Trends 185

Conclusions 202

TABLE 4.1. The elasticity of substitution (σ₂), by ecosystem service types 94

TABLE 5.1. Percent change in nonrenewable natural capital per capita, by asset, region, and income group, 1995-2020 107

TABLE 6.1. Residential-to-producer price conversion factors by country/region 131

TABLE 6.2. Hydroelectric asset value, installed capacity, generation, and weighted average capacity factor by region, 1995 and 2020 136

TABLE 6.3. Ten wealthiest hydroelectric countries, 2020 138

TABLE 6.4. Hydroelectric asset value per unit of installed capacity, 10 wealthiest hydroelectric countries, 1995 and 2020 140

TABLE 7.1. Land cover for forest and agricultural lands in low-income countries, 1995 and 2020 157

TABLE 8.1. Resource rent estimates for Norwegian salmon and trout aquaculture, selected years, 1995-2020 173

TABLE 9.1. Human capital as a share of total wealth, 1995-2020 190

TABLE 9.2. Human capital as a share of total wealth, by region, 1995-2020 192

TABLE 9.3. Potential gains in human capital from gender equity, 1995-2020 196

FIGURE ES.1. Distribution of global wealth in nominal terms, by income group, 1995 and 2020 16

FIGURE ES.2A. Trends in real wealth per capita, by region, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 17

FIGURE ES.2B. Nominal wealth shares, by region, 2020 17

FIGURE ES.3. Countries with declining and non-declining real wealth per capita, 1995-2020 18

FIGURE ES.4A. Trends in global wealth per capita, by asset category, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 19

FIGURE ES.4B. Nominal wealth shares, by asset category, 2020 19

FIGURE ES.5A. Trends in renewable natural capital per capita, by asset, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 20

FIGURE ES.5B. Nominal wealth shares for renewable natural capital, by asset, 2020 20

FIGURE ES.6A. Trends in nonrenewable natural capital per capita, by asset, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 21

FIGURE ES.6B. Shares in nominal wealth for nonrenewable natural capital, by asset, 2020 21

FIGURE ES.7A. Trends in produced capital per capita, by region, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 22

FIGURE ES.7B. Nominal wealth shares for produced capital, by region, 2020 22

FIGURE ES.8A. Trends in human capital per capita, by region, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 23

FIGURE ES.8B. Nominal shares of human capital, by region, 2020 23

FIGURE ES.9. Changes in global real GDP and wealth per capita, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 24

FIGURE ES.10. Cumulative GDP per capita growth vs. cumulative wealth per capita growth, 1995-2020 25

FIGURE 1.1. Coverage of "natural capital" on the official SNA non-financial balance sheet for OECD countries 37

FIGURE 1.2. Exchange value vs. welfare value 39

FIGURE 1.3. Changes in prices and their implications for exchange and welfare values 40

FIGURE 1.4. The CWON wealth accounts (2024 release) and their relationship to the SNA and SEEA 42

FIGURE 3.1. Distribution of global wealth, by income group, 1995 and 2020 68

FIGURE 3.2. Real wealth per capita, by region, 1995-2020 68

FIGURE 3.3. Countries with declining and non-declining real wealth per capita, 1995-2020 70

FIGURE 3.4. Trends in real wealth per capita, by FCV status, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 70

FIGURE 3.5. Wealth per capita, by asset category 72

FIGURE 3.6. Change in wealth per capita, by income group and asset class, 1995-2020 72

FIGURE 3.7. Trends in renewable natural capital, by region, 1995-2020 73

FIGURE 3.8. Renewable natural capital per capita, by asset, 1995-2020 74

FIGURE 3.9. Nonrenewable natural capital per capita, by asset, index to 1995, 1995-2020 75

FIGURE 3.10. Produced capital per capita, by region, 1995-2020 76

FIGURE 3.11. Human capital per capita by region, 1995-2020 77

FIGURE 3.12. Shares of human capital by gender, 1995-2020 78

FIGURE 3.13. Changes in global GDP and wealth per capita, indexed to 1995, 1995-2020 79

FIGURE 3.14. Cumulative GDP per capita growth vs. cumulative wealth per capita growth, 1995-2020 80

FIGURE 4.1. A framework for introducing limited substitutability in production and consumption 88

FIGURE 4.2. Manufacturing employment by land and elasticity of land-labor substitution 89

FIGURE 4.3. Distribution of global wealth using differentiated discount rates, 1995 and 2020 92

FIGURE 4.4. Trends in wealth per capita using differentiated discount rates, indexed to 1995, 1995, and 2020 92

FIGURE 4.5. The value of non-wood forest ecosystem services, by the degree of substitutability 95

FIGURE 5.1. Global comprehensive wealth, nonrenewable natural capital, and GDP in per capita terms, 1995-2020 100

FIGURE 5.2. Change in global nonrenewable natural capital per capita, by asset, 1995-2020 105

FIGURE 5.3. Shares of nonrenewable wealth, global, 1995-2020 106

FIGURE 5.4. Change in nonrenewable natural capital wealth per capita, 1995-2020 108

FIGURE 5.5. Change in fossil fuel and mineral wealth, top 10 countries, 1995-2020 109

FIGURE 5.6. Shares of global wealth, selected regions, 1995-2020 110

FIGURE 5.7. Shares of nonrenewable wealth, by region, 1995-2020 111

FIGURE 5.8. Change in fossil fuel and mineral wealth, by income group 113

FIGURE 5.9. Change in fossil fuel and mineral wealth, by region group 114

FIGURE 5.10. Global map of the change in fossil fuel and mineral wealth per capita, 1995 and 2020 115

FIGURE 5.11. Global trends in mineral wealth per capita, by selected minerals, 1995-2020 117

FIGURE 5.12. Percent changes in mineral wealth, selected countries, by mineral, 1995-2020 118

FIGURE 5.13. Changes in global wealth per capita for selected minerals: cobalt, lithium, molybdenum 119

FIGURE 6.1. Hydroelectric asset value by region, 1995-2020 137

FIGURE 6.2. Hydroelectric asset value per capita by region, 1995-2020 137

FIGURE 6.3. Share of hydroelectric asset value in total energy asset values 141

FIGURE 7.1. Global wealth in land assets: percent shares by category in 2020 149

FIGURE 7.2. Trends in real wealth per capita in land assets, indexed to 1995, 1995-2020 149

FIGURE 7.3. Change in wealth per capita by land asset, 1995-2020 150

FIGURE 7.4. Combined predicted value of all recreational services, non-wood forest products, and water services, per hectare in 2020 (2020 US dollars) 151

FIGURE 7.5. Share of forest ecosystem services by region and asset category, 2020 151

FIGURE 7.6. Wealth per capita in non-timber forest ecosystem services, by region and by category of service, 2020 152

FIGURE 7.7. Share of national forest wealth in non-timber forest ecosystem services provided by protected areas and country, 2020 153

FIGURE 7.8. Change in wealth per capita in land assets by income group, 1995-2020 155

FIGURE 7.9. Share of land wealth in total wealth in low-income countries, 1995 and 2020 156

FIGURE 8.1. Key steps and data for estimating the flood protection benefits provided by mangroves 167

FIGURE 8.2. Differences in global mangrove cover between GMW 2.0 and GMW 3.0 168

FIGURE 8.3. Global marine fish wealth, indexed to 1995, 1995-2020 169

FIGURE 8.4. Per capita wealth from marine fish stocks, by income and region, 1995-2020 170

FIGURE 8.5. Wealth in marine fish stocks, top 20 countries, 2020 171

FIGURE 8.6. Countries with the top 20 largest loss of fish biomass per capita, 1995-2020 172

FIGURE 8.7. Egyptian tilapia/mullet aquaculture resource rent and sales value, 2010-2020 174

FIGURE 8.8. Resource rent estimates in selected countries and species, 1995-2020 176

FIGURE 8.9. Value of people and capital stock at risk and receiving risk reduction benefits in current US dollars, indexed to 1995, 1995-2020 177

FIGURE 8.10. Per hectare flood risk and mangrove benefits to people and capital stock by income level in nominal terms, 1995-2020 178

FIGURE 8.11. Mangrove area and the value of coastline protection services in real terms, indexed to 1995, 1995-2020 179

FIGURE 8.12. Mangrove coastline protection services value per capita, by income and region, indexed to 1995, 1995-2020 180

FIGURE 8.13. Countries with the largest mangrove coastline protection services value, 2020 181

FIGURE 9.1. Annual growth rates of human capital per capita, 1995-2020 191

FIGURE 9.2. Human capital per capita, by region, 1995-2020 (1995=100) 193

FIGURE 9.3. Nominal shares of human capital, by region, 2020 193

FIGURE 9.4. Shares of human capital by gender, 1995-2020 194

Boxes

BOX 1.1. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GDP AND COMPREHENSIVE WEALTH 33

BOX 1.2. ACCOUNTING FOR WATER IN CWON-CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES 45

BOX 4.1. FORESTS AS COMPLEMENTS TO HUMAN HEALTH 95

BOX 5.1. ESTIMATING THE USER COSTS OF CAPITAL FOR NONRENEWABLE NATURAL CAPITAL 103

BOX 5.2. THE LOW-CARBON TRANSITION AND NONRENEWABLE NATURAL CAPITAL 121

BOX 6.1. DEFINITION OF HYDROELECTRIC ASSETS 126

BOX 7.1. TRENDS IN LAND ASSETS: COUNTRY EXAMPLES 154

BOX 7.2. KEY CHALLENGES IN ACCOUNTING FOR CARBON RETENTION SERVICES IN CWON 158

BOX 9.1. DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO MEASURE HUMAN CAPITAL 186

BOX 9.2. THE HUMAN CAPITAL INDEX AND CWON'S HUMAN CAPITAL 188

BOX 9.3. EXPERIMENTAL ESTIMATION OF QUALITY-ADJUSTED HUMAN CAPITAL 198

BOX 10.1. IMPLEMENTATION EXPERIENCE FROM COUNTRY-LEVEL WEALTH ESTIMATES 205

Box Figures

BOX FIGURE 1.1.1. GDP vs. wealth in the context of CWON 33

BOX FIGURE 7.2.1. Total global vegetation carbon stock (in megatons), 2020 159

BOX FIGURE 9.3.1. Real human capital by education level 199

BOX FIGURE 9.3.2. Real human capital vs. quality-adjusted real human capital, indexed 200

Annex Tables

TABLE A2.1. Example of two asset Törnqvist volume index 64

Annex Figures

FIGURE A3.1. Global wealth shares, 2020 83

FIGURE A3.2. GDP and wealth trends per capita in market exchange rates and PPP terms 83

FIGURE A3.3. Trends in wealth asset classes in market exchange rates and in PPP terms, by income group 85

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The changing wealth of nations 2024 : revisiting the measurement of comprehensive wealth

(2024년 국가의 부의 변화 : 포괄적 부의 측정 재검토)