목차
About This Report iii
Summary v
Figure and Tables xiii
CHAPTER 1
Introduction 1
The U.S. Nuclear Umbrella for the ROK 2
Contrasting Nuclear Deterrence and Nuclear Assurance 5
Some Issues for Assurance and Deterrence 6
Methodology 8
Organization of This Report 9
CHAPTER 2
Why the ROK Needs Greater Nuclear Assurance 11
The North Korean Threat 12
The Chinese Threat 23
ROK Interest in Strong Assurance 30
Other Issues That Challenge ROK Assurance 41
Conclusion 41
CHAPTER 3
Policy and Strategy Options 43
Organizing the Nuclear Consultative Group 44
Preparing the ROK and United States : Education on Nuclear Weapon Issues 45
Reassuring the ROK on U.S. Extended Deterrence 46
Reining In the North Korea Nuclear Weapon Program 56
CHAPTER 4
Employment Planning and Execution Assurance Options 65
Developing a Common View of the North Korean Threat 65
Improving the Nonnuclear Force Balance, Countering the North's Nuclear Shadow 66
Creating Defenses Against North Korean Nuclear Weapon Use 69
Nuclear Warfighting 75
Obtaining ROK Government Approval of U.S. Nuclear Weapon Employment 81
Improve ROK and Japanese Defense Cooperation and Planning 82
CHAPTER 5
Nuclear Weapon Force Assurance Options 85
Potential Nuclear Weapon Commitment Options 86
Deploying U.S. Strategic Weapon Systems to the Peninsula 100
Explaining U.S. Nuclear Weapon Availability and Safety 102
CHAPTER 6
ROK Nuclear Assurance in Changing Conditions 105
Strengthening ROK Nuclear Assurance Before North Korea Creates a Large Nuclear Weapon Force 106
Nuclear Weapon Force Commitments to the ROK Against a Large North Korean Nuclear Weapon Force 109
Conclusions on the Future Nuclear Weapon Force Options 117
APPENDIX
Nuclear Damage Assessment 119
Population Density 119
Lethal Area 120
Calculating Potential Fatalities and Serious Casualties 121
Abbreviations 123
Bibliography 125
