▶ 북핵 위협, 어떻게 대응할 것인가 : 연구보고서 (2021.04.14.) / 아산정책연구원
▶ 한국에 대한 핵보장 강화 방안 (2023.10.30.) / 아산정책연구원
▶ Options for Strengthening ROK Nuclear Assurance (2023.10.30.) / RAND Corporation
목차
About This Perspective iii
Figures and Tables. vii
Summary ix
Abbreviations. xvii
CHAPTER ONE Introduction 1
Trapped by the Kim Family Legacy and North Korean Reality 2
Organization of This Perspective 4
CHAPTER TWO North Korea’s National Strategy: Looking Beyond Nuclear Capability 5
North Korea’s National Strategy 7
North Korea’s Desired Path to Victory 15
How to Undermine North Korea’s National Strategy 22
CHAPTER THREE North Korean Nuclear and Ballistic Missile Capabilities, Now and in 2027 25
North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons: Context and Capabilities 26
Carrying the Nukes: North Korea’s Growing Ballistic Missile Inventory. 28
Stockpiles of Nuclear Material: Plutonium and Highly Enriched Uranium. 32
Projecting the Nuclear Weapon Inventory 36
A Caution on Projecting the North Korean Nuclear Weapon Inventory 37
CHAPTER FOUR North Korea’s Nuclear Weapon Strategy: Trying to Be a Regional Great Power 39
Nuclear Doctrine Evolved as Capabilities Improved 39
Evolving Contexts for North Korean Nuclear Weapon Use 43
Summarizing Potential North Korean Nuclear Weapon Employment. 53
Catalysts for Initiating Nuclear Weapon Use. 56
Conclusion 57
CHAPTER FIVE ROK and U.S. Strategies for Responding to the North Korean Nuclear Weapon Threat 59
Key Findings That Drive an ROK and U.S. Counter–Nuclear Weapon Strategy 59
Outlining the Proposed 2027 ROK and U.S. Strategy 60
Key ROK and U.S. Strategy: Deter, Defeat, Defend, and Dissuade North Korea 62
What Capabilities Should the ROK and the United States Be Developing?. 70
Other Recommendations for ROK and U.S. Strategy. 77
Working with China 82
References 85
해시태그
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AI 100자 요약·번역서비스
인공지능이 자동으로 요약·번역한 내용입니다.
Countering the Risks of North Korean Nuclear Weapons
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