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How demographic change will hit debt sustainability in European Union countries
(인구 통계학적 변화가 유럽연합 회원국의 부채 지속 가능성에 미치는 영향)

목차

Executive summary 1

1 Introduction 2

2 Long-term fiscal pressures in the EU based on an application of the new EU fiscal framework 4
2.1 Using the European debt sustainability methodology to project longterm fiscal adjustment needs 4
2.2 Long-term assumptions 5
2.3 Baseline results 7
2.4 Alternative scenarios presumed to lead to increased sustainability risks 13

3 Policies 15
3.1 The quantitative impact of some stylised policies to reduce ageing costs 15
3.2 Country-specific recommendations to address demographic challenges 18

4 Conclusion 22

References 23

Appendix: Figures 3, 5 and 7, four-year adjustment periods 24

해시태그

#인구고령화 # 공공부채 # EU부채비율 # EU재정규칙 # 고령화비용

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