목차
Title page
Contents
Abstract 3
1. Introduction 4
2. Institutional background 8
2.1. Labor market 8
2.2. Family-friendly policies 10
3. Main Empirical Strategy: Regression Kink Design 11
3.1. Identification strategy: Regression Kink Design (RKD) 11
3.2. Data and sample design 14
3.3. Tests of Identifying Assumptions 18
4. Main Results 19
5. Alternative Identification Strategy: Difference-in-differences 25
6. Conclusions 28
References 30
Appendix 44
Table 1. Descriptive statistics, MCVL 2010 37
Table 2. Main outcome: Number of days worked part-time when the child is 0-6 years old (MCVL, 2010) 38
Table 3. Secondary outcomes when the child is 0-6 years old (MCVL, 2010) 39
Table 4. Main outcome: Number of days worked part-time when the child is 6-10 years old (MCVL, 2010) 40
Table 5. Secondary outcomes when the child is 6-10 years old (MCVL, 2010) 41
Table 6. Heterogeneous effects: Number of days worked part-time, MCVL 2010 42
Table 7. Main outcome (DiD analysis): Number of days worked part-time when the child is 0-6 years old (MCVL, 2010) 43
Figure 1. Kinks in eligibility induced by the policy (as a function of the date of birth of the youngest child) 32
Figure 2. Density of births around the kink (Validity checks: no sorting) 33
Figure 3. Main outcome: Number of days worked part-time when child is 0-6 34
Figure 4. Secondary outcomes (ages 0-6) 35
Figure 5. All outcomes when the child is 6-10 years old 36
Table A.1. Manipulation tests 46
Table A.2. Predetermined covariates (at the birth event) 47
Table A.3. Main outcome: Number of days worked part-time when the child is 0-6 years old (MCVL, 2005-2010) 48
Table A.4. Secondary outcomes when the child is 0-6 years old (MCVL, 2005-2010) 49
Table A.5. Robustness checks (Main outcome: Number of days worked part-time when child is 0-6 years old), MCVL 2010 50
Table A.6. Robustness checks (Secondary outcomes when the child is 0-6 years old), MCVL 2010 51
Table A.7. Robustness checks (Main outcome: Number of days worked part-time when the child is 6-10 years old), MCVL 2010 52
Table A.8. Robustness checks (Secondary outcomes when the child is 6-10 years old), MCVL 2010 53
Table A.9. Robustness checks: sample restricted to permanent contracts (All outcomes when the child is 0-6 years old), MCVL 2010 54
Table A.10. Main outcome (DiD analysis): Number of days worked part-time when the child is 0-6 years old (MCVL, 2010) 55
Figure A.1. Validity checks: smoothness in covariates at the kink 44
Figure A.2. DiD specification - Main outcome: No. of days worked part-time when the child is 0-6 45
