국회도서관 국가전략정보포털

Title page 1

Contents 1

1. Introduction 2

2. Modelling transition exposures 4

2.1. Transition 4

2.2. Model 5

3. Measuring GDP in transition (for energy transition) 6

3.1. GDP in transition 6

3.2. Country and sectoral differences 9

4. Policy implications 15

4.1. Decarbonisation strategies 15

4.2. Structural policies 16

5. Conclusion 17

References 18

Annex 20

Tables 11

Table 1. Country differences (EU, 2023) 11

Table 2. Carbon intensity by sector (EU, 2023) 12

Table 3. Sectoral differences across countries (EU, 2023) 20

Figures 7

Figure 1. Carbon intensity by sector (EU, 2023) 7

Figure 2. GDP vulnerable to transition, % of GDP (EU countries, 2023) 8

Figure 3. Country deviations for manufacturing (EU countries, 2023) 13

Figure 4. Country deviations for electricity (EU countries, 2023) 13

Figure 5. Country deviations for transport (EU countries, 2023) 14