Evaluating the Risks of Preventive Attack in the Race for Advanced AI

About This Paper iii
Contents v
Tables vi

Evaluating the Risks of Preventive Attack in the Race for Advanced AI 1

A Framework for Evaluating Preventive Pressures 3

Three Scenarios for Preventive Attacks 12

Counterproliferation as a Special Case of Prevention 18

If Not Preventive Attacks, Then What? 20

Steps to Reduce Preventive Pressures 22

Conclusion 23

References 26