목차
Title page 1
Contents 1
Abstract 2
1. Introduction 4
2. Econometric Specification 7
3. Data and Sources 9
4. Estimation Results and Analysis 11
4.1. GPR and Trade: Main Findings 11
4.2. GPR and Trade: Mechanisms and Discussion 19
5. Conclusion 23
References 24
Appendix 26
Tables 11
Table 1. GPR Effects on Trade: Industry-level Estimates 11
Table 2. GPR Effects on Trade: Sector-level Estimates 17
Table 3. GPR Effects on Trade: Industry-level Estimates. Robustness 26
Figures 10
Figure 1. Geopolitical Risk Index 10
Figure 2. GPR Effects on Trade: All Industries 15
Figure 3. GPR Effects on Trade: Broad Sectors 16
Figure 4. GPR Effects on Trade: Sector-level Estimates 18
Figure 5. GPR Effects on Trade: Interactions and Mechanisms 20
Figure 6. GPR Effects on Trade: War GPR Categories 21
Figure 7. GPR Effects on Trade: Other GPR Categories 22
