목차
INTRODUCTION 11
THE ECONOMIC FRONTS 16
Explaining Russia’s initial resilience and economic adjustment 17
The Russian economy heading into stagflation since fall 2024 23
EU’s pivot to geoeconomic power: European economies have accelerated the energy transition and aligned with a strategic autonomy agenda 31
DEFENSE AND NATIONAL SECURITY: LOOKING FOR A EUROPEAN OFFSET STRATEGY 42
General strategies 43
The prospect of Russia-Europe military confrontation 50
Resource strategy and defense industry 62
Indirect and hybrid strategies 69
POLITICAL SYSTEMS AND SOCIETAL RESILIENCE 75
Russian population and elites are conditioned for lengthy confrontation, Europe is not 77
In the long term, Europe’s model is more attractive than Russia’s 98
After Putin, is reconciliation with Europe possible? 108
ALLIANCES AND INTERNATIONAL POSITIONING, THE RACE FOR GLOBAL STRATEGIC SUPPORT 112
How is the war redefining the alliances and partnerships of Russia and the EU? 112
Strengths and weaknesses of international positioning 129
CONCLUSION 143
LIST OF ACRONYMS 145
BIBLIOGRAPHY 149
Books149
Official statements, reports, scientific articles 154
Online resources 163
