목차
Executive Summary 1
Introduction 3
Plausible Tomorrows Guiding Action Today 5
Taking Stock: Where Does AI Stand? 7
Baseline and Trajectory of AI – Ten Key Takeaways 8
Key Uncertainties: AI Access and Ubiquitousness 10
Plausible Tomorrow 1: AI Lights Up the Port of Rotterdam 12
Context 12
Description 12
National Security Implications for the Netherlands in the EU Context 14
Plausible Tomorrow 2: A Fragile Power (Im)Balance 16
Context 16
Description 16
National Security Implications for the Netherlands in the EU Context 18
Plausible Tomorrow 3: White Flag Festival: Surrender to the AI Gods 20
Context 20
Description 20
National Security Implications for the Netherlands in the EU Context 22
From Foresight to Execution: Policy Priorities for the Netherlands and the EU 24
Appendix. Scenarios for the Next Three to Five Years: Strategic Foresight Methodology 31
Two Uncertainties, Four Quadrants 32
