Title page 1

Contents 1

Summary 1

Shooting for the moon 2

China's industrial challenge to Europe 3

Costs and backlash in Europe 4

De-risking and climate will succeed and fail together 5

The political economy of going green 6

Coalition mapping 14

How to forge coalitions for economic security 20

The green moonshot 22

Methodology 23

Annexe 1. Approach behind "Factors that steer member states' climate and China priorities" 23

Annexe 2. Approach to "Mapping the positions of European political parties and business groups on climate and China" 25

Acknowledgments 27