Title page 1

Contents 1

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 3

SUMMARY 4

INTRODUCTION 6

1. THE GEOPOLITICS OF UN-ORDER 7

2. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR UK INTERESTS 10

3. PUBLIC OPINION AND FOREIGN POLICY 17

4. A NEW APPROACH: OUR NATION, OUR CONTINENT, OUR WORLD 20

4.1. RECASTING THE EUROPEAN RELATIONSHIP 20

4.2. DE-RISKING RELATIONS WITH THE US AND CHINA WITH EUROPE 22

4.3. REINVENTING THE MACHINERY OF GOVERNMENT 23

CONCLUSION 26

REFERENCES 27

Tables 11

TABLE 2.1. THE WAY AHEAD? THREE STYLISED ‘GRAND STRATEGIES' FOR THE UK 11

TABLE 2.2. STRIKING THE BALANCE: THE SECURITY, ECONOMY AND MIGRATION IMPLICATIONS OF OUR THREE STRATEGIES 16

Figures 17

FIGURE 3.1. BREXIT IS THAWING 17

FIGURE 3.2. MIGRATION AND EUROPE 18

FIGURE 3.3. TOWARDS EUROPE, AWAY FROM THE US? 18

FIGURE 3.4. CHANGING ATTITUDES ON FREE MOVEMENT 19