Title page 1

Contents 1

Abstract 3

I. Introduction 4

II. The interface of the green transition and structural transformation 6

III. The impact of the green transition on jobs 8

IV. Overcoming impediments to accelerate the green transition 31

References 42

Figures 11

Figure 1. Sample of jobs along the quality spectrum and environmental spectrum 11

Figure 2. Percent of firms identifying electricity as a major constraint 21

Figure 3. Change in employment by driver, gender, and skill by 2030 24

Figure 4. Relative change in employment under revenue recycling scenarios 2 and 3 25

Figure 5. Ratio of green share of jobs in rural versus urban locations 27

Figure 6. Ratio of 'brown' share of jobs in rural versus urban locations 28

Figure 7. Cereal yields (Kg/ha/year) and adaptation readiness score (Panel A). Projected change in major cereal yields (average score for rice, wheat, and maize) and adaptation readiness score (Panel B) 33

Figure 8. Summary of policy options 41

Boxes 8

Box 1. Upgrading job quality through an integrated organizational approach to waste management 8

Box 2. Methods for estimating the number of green jobs: pros and cons 10

Box 3. Rainforest Alliance 13

Box 4. Job prospects for geothermal energy investment in Dominica 20

Box 5. Multi-Regional Input-Output MINDSET Model 23

Box 6. Nature-based solutions to climate change that create urban jobs and improve quality of life 30

Box 7. Examples of green innovation in rural Africa that support sustainable inclusive development 31

Box 8. Striving for a just coal transition 35