목차
Foreword 4
Executive summary 5
Introduction 6
From specialist practice to institutional capability 7
The Future50 initiative 7
Purpose and scope of this handbook 7
1. Defining intergenerational foresight 8
2. Core principles of intergenerational foresight 9
2.1 Future50 as proof of concept 9
3. From principles to practice: regional provocations 10
3.1 Provocations as strategic inquiry 10
3.2 Shaping the contributions 10
A. Europe and Eurasia 11
Regional context: pressure on legitimacy and long-term agency 12
System dynamics: how future agency is quietly eroded 12
Rationale: reclaiming temporal sovereignty 12
Illustrative pathways 13
Global relevance 13
B. Middle East and North Africa 15
Regional context: growth with persistent asymmetries 16
System dynamics: when growth reinforces inequality 17
Rationale: realigning visibility, legitimacy and contribution 18
Illustrative pathways 18
Global relevance 19
C. North America and the Caribbean 20
Regional context: rapid innovation and deepening vulnerability 21
System dynamics: crisis response that reproduces fragility 21
Illustrative case: Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica 22
Rationale: bailouts as foresight leverage points 23
Illustrative pathways 23
Global relevance 24
D. Latin America 26
Regional context: extractive growth and rural marginalization 27
System dynamics: when development undermines trust 27
Rationale: redefining prosperity through intergenerational compacts 28
Illustrative pathways 29
Global relevance 29
E. East Asia 30
Regional context: demography as design constraint and opportunity 31
System dynamics: ageing, capability and organizational resilience 31
Rationale: ageing as a source of intergenerational capability 32
Illustrative pathways 32
Global relevance 33
F. Sub-Saharan Africa 34
Regional context: legitimacy and participation in resource governance 35
System dynamics: governance structures and power distribution 35
Rationale: aligning authority with accountability 36
Illustrative pathways 36
Global relevance 37
G. Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and Oceania 38
Regional context: the limits of technical authority 39
System dynamics: governance coherence under pressure 39
Rationale: expanding the foundations of credible leadership 40
Illustrative pathways 41
Global relevance 42
H. South Asia 43
Regional context: continuity and authority in crisis governance 44
System dynamics: governance design and capacity transfer 44
Rationale: continuity as a design requirement 45
Illustrative pathways 45
Global relevance 45
Conclusion 46
Contributors 47
Acknowledgements 49
Endnotes 51
해시태그
AI 요약·번역·분석 서비스
AI를 활용한 보고서 요약·번역과 실시간 질의응답 서비스입니다.
Intergenerational Foresight: An Approach for Long-Term Responsibility in Governance
(세대 간 미래예측: 거버넌스에서 장기적 책임을 위한 접근법)
국가전략포털에서 실시간 AI 질의응답 서비스를 시작합니다. 4가지 유형의 요약과 번역을 이용해보시고, 보고서에 대해 추가로 알고 싶은 내용이 있으면 채팅창을 통해 자유롭게 AI에게 물어볼 수 있습니다.
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