03 Foreword

05 Executive summary

09 Chapter 1: Introduction

12 Chapter 2: Methodology

16 Chapter 3: AI 2030 scenario narratives

19 Slow Burn

22 Open Frontier

25 Augmented Growth

28 Transformation Economy

32 Take-Off

36 Chapter 4: Key findings and how to use the AI 2030 scenarios

41 Acknowledgements

42 Glossary

45 Annex A: 2030 AI capability trajectories

47 Annex B: Critical uncertainties

60 Annex C: Updates since the April 2024 report

61 References