Trends in global value chains

(글로벌 가치 사슬 트렌드 : 연구보고서)

목차

Title page 1


Contents 5


Acknowledgements 4


Abbreviations and acronyms 7


Key findings 8


1. Measuring global value chains in an era of reconfiguration 9


2. Key trends in GVCs in nominal and real terms 11


Trade via global value chains has reached historical highs in 2024 in real terms 11


Industries differ markedly in their reliance on trade via GVCs, with some remaining highly globally integrated 13


Most economies rely more on foreign inputs in 2024 than in 2011, although patterns differ widely 14


Post-pandemic changes in global value chain participation reflect shifts in sourcing and production structures 17


Gross and value-added trade point to different bilateral dynamics among major economies 19


3. Key trends in multinational production 20


Multinational production is comparable in scale to world trade 20


Multinational enterprises are disproportionately important in trade 21


The location and ownership of foreign affiliate production remain unevenly distributed 22


Foreign-owned firms are more internationally embedded than domestic-owned firms 24


Foreign affiliates matter most in manufacturing and selected services 26


4. Key trends in services trade by mode of supply 27


International trade in services is growing faster than trade in goods 27


Mode 3 remains the largest channel of international services supply 28


Different services industries rely on different modes of supply 29


Services global value chain participation differs across countries and modes of supply 30


Manufacturing exports embody substantial services content, including through Mode 3 31


Domestic consumption of services involves a different mix of modes of supply across countries 33


5. Implications: Towards a more nuanced assessment of supply chain trends 35


6. About the GVC datasets presented in this report 36


The OECD PYP ICIO dataset 36


The Analytical AMNE database 37


The Trade in Value Added Indicators for Services by Mode of Supply (TiVA-MoS) database 38


Interpreting input-output-based GVC indicators: Key caveats and limitations 39


Annex A. Projection of ICIO tables in current and previous year's prices 41


Glossary 43


References 44


Notes 46


Figure 2.1. Trade via global value chains has reached historical highs in the post-pandemic period in real terms 12


Figure 2.2. Commodity price swings distort nominal measures of trade via GVCs 13


Figure 2.3. Industries differ markedly in their reliance on trade via GVCs 14


Figure 2.4. Most economies have become more reliant on foreign value added in their exports 16


Figure 2.5. Post-pandemic increases in GVC participation reflect structural change more than greater foreign sourcing 18


Figure 2.6. Value-added linkages among major economies persist beyond direct bilateral trade 19


Figure 3.1. Multinational production is comparable in scale to world trade 21


Figure 3.2. Multinational enterprises account for a disproportionate share of world trade 22


Figure 3.3. Foreign affiliate production remains concentrated in a small group of host and parent economies 23


Figure 3.4. The geography of multinational production is becoming more diversified 24


Figure 3.5. Foreign-owned firms are more internationally embedded but remain closely linked to domestic suppliers 25


Figure 3.6. Foreign affiliates matter most in manufacturing and selected services 26


Figure 4.1. International trade in services is growing faster than trade in goods 28


Figure 4.2. Commercial presence is the largest channel for supplying services internationally 29


Figure 4.3. The dominant mode of international supply differs sharply across services industries 30


Figure 4.4. Services GVC participation depends on both cross-border trade and foreign affiliate activity 31


Figure 4.5. Foreign services make a substantial contribution to manufacturing exports 32


Figure 4.6. Countries rely on markedly different modes to meet domestic demand for foreign services 33


Boxes 12


Box 2.1. Commodities price fluctuations and their impact on GVC measurement 12


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Trends in global value chains

(글로벌 가치 사슬 트렌드 : 연구보고서)

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