Foreword 3

Executive summary 4

Introduction 5

1 The five-stage foresight methodology 6

2 Four scenarios for the Mediterranean’s future 7

  2.1 Game of fortresses 9

  2.2 Digital blocs 10

  2.3 United analogue states 10

  2.4 High-speed intelligent corridors 11

3 Positioning the Mediterranean as a strategic corridor for European value chains 13

Conclusion 16

Contributors 17

Endnotes 18