목차
About RAND Europe ii
Research Integrity ii
Introduction 1
THE GLOBAL CONTEXT 3
Population changes and health 4
Changing climate, changing lives 5
Geopolitical competition 5
Economic uncertainty 6
The global impact of technology 7
BALANCING SECURITY AND SOCIETY 9
Trend 1: Defence spending exacerbates pressures on public finances and debt 10
Trend 2: Defence spending could fuel discontent and polarisation 11
Trend 3: Military build-up intensifies influence operations 12
CHALLENGES OF A DISCONNECTED YOUTH 15
Trend 1: Deteriorating mental health amid increased reliance on social media 16
Trend 2: Economic inactivity and decreasing school attendance 17
Trend 3: Children’s involvement in violence 18
RESILIENCE FOR A CHANGING PLANET AND SOCIETY 21
Trend 1: The growing urgency of a planetary approach to health 22
Trend 2: Harnessing technology to support pandemic preparedness and the management of infectious diseases 23
Trend 3: Resilient health systems in the face of growing chronic disease and mental health burdens 25
Annex 1. Methodology 29
Notes 31
