Abstract  iii

Acknowledgments  iv

Summary  vi

Figures and Tables  xii

Chapter 1. Introduction  1

Study Goals, Approach, and Structure  5

Chapter 2. The Impact of Emerging Military Technologies on the Decision to Use Force: Framework  9

Literature Review  10

Framework  13

Conclusions  25

Chapter 3. The Impact of Emerging Technologies on Extended Deterrence: Game-Theoretic Approach  27

Model Overview  29

Model Specification  32

Results  39

Conclusions  54

Chapter 4. The Impact of Robotic Warfare on Public Support for War: Online Survey Experiment on the Russian Public  56

Survey Design  57

Data Collection  59

Sample  60

Findings  63

Limitations  80

Conclusions  80

Chapter 5. Conclusion, Policy Implications and Recommendations, and Areas for Future Research  83

Policy Implications and Recommendations  85

Areas for Future Research  89

Appendix A. Tripartite Model of Extended Deterrence: Proofs  93

Appendix B. Survey Instrument  122

Appendix C. Logistic Regression Models Comparison  128

Abbreviations  136

References  137