International debt report 2024

(2024 국제 부채 보고서)

목차

Title page 1


Contents 6


Foreword 10


Acknowledgments 13


Introduction 14


Key Takeaways 16


Abbreviations 19


PART 1. Overview 21


1. Analyses of External Debt Stocks and Debt Flows as of End-2023 22


Trends in External Debt Stock, 2013-23 22


Debt Ratios and Debt Resolutions 35


Debt Servicing Burdens of LMICs, 2013-23 41


Trends in External Debt Flows, 2013-23 48


Trends in Net Transfers on External Debt, 2013-23 59


Note 66


References 66


2. The Macroeconomic and Debt Outlook for 2024 and Beyond 68


Introduction 68


Macroeconomic Outlook and Risks 68


Debt Outlook and Risks 71


References 75


3. The Debt Transparency Agenda: Moving It Forward 76


Introduction 76


Borrower Countries 77


Creditor Countries 81


The International Community 85


Notes 88


References 88


PART 2. Aggregate and Country Tables 90


ALL LOW- AND MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES 91


EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC 92


EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA 93


LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 94


MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA 95


SOUTH ASIA 96


SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 97


AFGHANISTAN 98


ALBANIA 99


ALGERIA 100


ANGOLA 101


ARGENTINA 102


ARMENIA 103


AZERBAIJAN 104


BANGLADESH 105


BELARUS 106


BELIZE 107


BENIN 108


BHUTAN 109


BOLIVIA 110


BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA 111


BOTSWANA 112


BRAZIL 113


BURKINA FASO 114


BURUNDI 115


CABO VERDE 116


CAMBODIA 117


CAMEROON 118


CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC 119


CHAD 120


CHINA 121


COLOMBIA 122


COMOROS 123


CONGO, DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF 124


CONGO, REPUBLIC OF 125


COSTA RICA 126


CÔTE D'IVOIRE 127


DJIBOUTI 128


DOMINICA 129


DOMINICAN REPUBLIC 130


ECUADOR 131


EGYPT, ARAB REPUBLIC OF 132


EL SALVADOR 133


ERITREA 134


ESWATINI 135


ETHIOPIA 136


FIJI 137


GABON 138


GAMBIA, THE 139


GEORGIA 140


GHANA 141


GRENADA 142


GUATEMALA 143


GUINEA 144


GUINEA-BISSAU 145


GUYANA 146


HAITI 147


HONDURAS 148


INDIA 149


INDONESIA 150


IRAN, ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF 151


IRAQ 152


JAMAICA 153


JORDAN 154


KAZAKHSTAN 155


KENYA 156


KOSOVO 157


KYRGYZ REPUBLIC 158


LAO PEOPLE'S DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC 159


LEBANON 160


LESOTHO 161


LIBERIA 162


MADAGASCAR 163


MALAWI 164


MALDIVES 165


MALI 166


MAURITANIA 167


MAURITIUS 168


MEXICO 169


MOLDOVA 170


MONGOLIA 171


MONTENEGRO 172


MOROCCO 173


MOZAMBIQUE 174


MYANMAR 175


NEPAL 176


NICARAGUA 177


NIGER 178


NIGERIA 179


NORTH MACEDONIA 180


PAKISTAN 181


PAPUA NEW GUINEA 182


PARAGUAY 183


PERU 184


PHILIPPINES 185


RWANDA 186


SAMOA 187


SÃO TOMÉ AND PRÍNCIPE 188


SENEGAL 189


SERBIA 190


SIERRA LEONE 191


SOLOMON ISLANDS 192


SOMALIA 193


SOUTH AFRICA 194


SRI LANKA 195


ST. LUCIA 196


ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 197


SUDAN 198


SURINAME 199


SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC 200


TAJIKISTAN 201


TANZANIA 202


THAILAND 203


TIMOR-LESTE 204


TOGO 205


TONGA 206


TUNISIA 207


TÜRKIYE 208


TURKMENISTAN 209


UGANDA 210


UKRAINE 211


UZBEKISTAN 212


VANUATU 213


VIET NAM 214


YEMEN, REPUBLIC OF 215


ZAMBIA 216


ZIMBABWE 217


Appendix 218


Data Sources 219


Country Groups 221


Regional Groups 221


Income Groups 222


Glossary 223


Tables 9


Table 1.1. External Debt Stock of Low- and Middle-Income Countries, 2013-23 23


Table 1.2. Net Debt Inflows to IDA-Eligible Countries, 2013-23 55


Figures 8


Figure 1.1. Creditor Composition of External Debt Stock in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, 2013-23 24


Figure 1.2. External Debt Stock of Low- and Middle-Income Countries, 2013-23 28


Figure 1.3. Creditor Composition of Low- and Middle-Income Countries' (excluding China) Long-Term Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt, 2013-23 29


Figure 1.4. GNI Growth versus New World Bank Commitments as a Share of GNI, Low- and Middle-Income Countries, 1971-2023 30


Figure 1.5. Creditor Composition of IDA-Eligible Countries' Long-Term Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt during Crises, 2006-23 34


Figure 1.6. External Debt-to-GNI Ratios for Low- and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China) and IDA-Eligible Countries, 2013-23 36


Figure 1.7. Variable Interest Rates and Interest Payments on Long-Term Debt of Low- and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China), by Creditor Type, 2020-23 42


Figure 1.8. Average Terms on New External Debt Commitments for Low- and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China), by Creditor Type, 2013-23 43


Figure 1.9. Interest Payments on Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt of Low- and Middle-Income Countries, by Region and Creditor Type, 2013-23 45


Figure 1.10. IDA-Eligible Countries' Interest Payments on External Debt, by Creditor Type, 2013-23 46


Figure 1.11. Average Terms of Commitments of External Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt to IDA-Eligible Countries, by Creditor Type, Average 2013-23 47


Figure 1.12. Net Debt Inflows in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, by Maturity, 2013-23 48


Figure 1.13. Long-Term External Debt Flows to Low- and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China), by Borrower Type, 2021-23 51


Figure 1.14. Bond Flows to Low- and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China), by Borrower Type, 2022-23 53


Figure 1.15. Net Flows to IDA-Eligible Countries, by Region and Creditor Type, 2023 57


Figure 1.16. Net Equity Inflows and External Debt Flows to Low- and Middle-Income Countries, 2013-23 58


Figure 1.17. Long-Term Net Transfers on External Debt in Low-and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China), by Debtor Type, 2013-23 60


Figure 1.18. Long-Term Net Transfers on Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (excluding China), by Creditor Type, 2013-23 61


Figure 1.19. Debt Flows on Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt in IDA-Eligible Countries, by Creditor Type, 2021-23 62


Figure 1.20. Net Transfers on Public and Publicly Guaranteed Debt in IDA-Eligible Countries, by Creditor Type, 2021-23 63


Figure 2.1. Percent Change in Gross Domestic Product, 2021-26 69


Figure 2.2. Interest Payments on Total External Debt as a Share of GNI, 2013-23 72


Figure 2.3. Composition of Government Revenues as a Share of GDP, 2010s vs. 2020s 74


Figure 3.1. Public Debt Disclosure by IDA-Eligible Countries, Access and Coverage, 2020 vs. 2023 78


Figure 3.2. Reporting Timetable for Debtor Reporting System Countries, 2019-23 79


Boxes 8


Box 1.1. External Debt Data: Concepts, Sources, and Coverage 24


Box 1.2. Understanding Bilateral Currency Swap Lines 26


Box 1.3. IMF and World Bank Efforts to Assist with Crises 31


Box 1.4. Debt Resolutions in Low- and Middle-Income Countries 36


Box 1.5. World Bank Income and Lending Classifications Used in International Debt Report 2024 39


Box 1.6. Allocation of the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights in 2023 44


Box 1.7. Debt-for-Climate Swaps 53


Box 1.8. Government Expenditures and External Debt Service in Developing Countries 63


Box 3.1. How China Lends 84


Box Figures 8


Figure B1.4.1. Evolution of the Risk of External Debt Distress 37


Figure B1.5.1. Number of Low- and Middle-Income Countries Covered in International Debt Report 2024, by FY2025 Income and Lending Group 40


Figure B1.6.1. SDR Allocations as a Share of International Reserves, by Region, 2023 45


Figure B1.8.1. Government Expenditures and External Debt Service Comparison, 2018-23 65


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International debt report 2024

(2024 국제 부채 보고서)

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