Artificial intelligence index report 2023

(2023년 인공지능 지수 보고서)

□ 스탠퍼드대학교 인간중심 AI 연구소(HAI)는 Artificial intelligence index report 2023 발간하고 전 세계 AI 기술 발전, 경제적 투자, 연구 성과 및 여론 현황을 종합적으로 분석하여 발표함

ㅇ AI 연구 및 개발 분야에서는 중국이 총 논문 발행 수(저널, 콘퍼런스, 리포지토리)에서 세계 1위를 차지했으나, AI 콘퍼런스 및 리포지토리 인용 수에서는 미국이 여전히 1위를 유지하며 질적 우위를 점함

- 2022년 발표된 중요한 머신러닝 모델(Significant Machine Learning Systems)의 54%가 미국 기관에서 배출되었으며, 1950년부터 2022년까지 누적된 시스템 수에서도 미국이 16개로 영국(8개)과 중국(3개)을 앞섬

- 특히 2014년까지는 학계가 모델 개발을 주도했으나, 2022년에는 산업계가 32개의 주요 모델을 발표한 반면 학계는 3개에 그쳐 산업계의 주도권이 강화됨


□ 국가별 AI 민간 투자 규모에서는 미국이 압도적인 1위를 기록했으나, 전 세계적인 투자 감소 추세가 확인됨

ㅇ 2022년 미국의 AI 민간 투자액은 474억 달러로, 2위인 중국(134억 달러)의 약 3.5배, 3위인 영국(44억 달러)의 약 11배에 달하는 규모임

- 이스라엘과 인도가 각각 32억 4천만 달러로 공동 4위, 한국이 31억 달러로 6위, 독일이 24억 달러로 7위를 기록함

- 전 세계 AI 민간 투자 총액은 919억 달러로 2021년 대비 26.7% 감소하여 지난 10년 만에 처음으로 하락세를 보임

- 새로 펀딩을 받은 AI 기업 수에서도 미국이 542개로 1위를 차지했으며, 중국(160개), 영국(99개)이 그 뒤를 이음


□ 인력 및 산업 현황에서는 인도와 중국 등 아시아 국가들의 약진이 두드러짐

ㅇ ‘상대적 AI 기술 침투율(Relative AI Skill Penetration Rate)’ 지표에서 인도가 3.2로 세계 1위를 기록했으며, 미국(2.2), 독일(1.7)이 그 뒤를 이어 상위권을 형성함

- 2021년 산업용 로봇 설치량에서 중국은 전 세계 설치량의 50% 이상을 차지하며, 나머지 전 세계 국가들의 합계보다 많은 로봇을 설치해 압도적인 1위를 기록함

- AI 제품 및 서비스에 대한 대중의 인식 조사(IPSOS) 결과, 중국 응답자의 78%가 AI의 장점이 단점보다 많다고 답해 가장 긍정적이었으며, 사우디아라비아(76%), 인도(71%)가 뒤를 이은 반면 미국은 35%만이 긍정적으로 답해 대조를 이룸

목차

Title page 1


Contents 10


Report Highlights 11


CHAPTER 1: Research and Development 20


Overview 22


Chapter Highlights 23


1.1. Publications 24


Overview 24


Total Number of AI Publications 24


By Type of Publication 25


By Field of Study 26


By Sector 27


Cross-Country Collaboration 29


Cross-Sector Collaboration 31


AI Journal Publications 32


Overview 32


By Region 33


By Geographic Area 34


Citations 35


AI Conference Publications 36


Overview 36


By Region 37


By Geographic Area 38


Citations 39


AI Repositories 40


Overview 40


By Region 41


By Geographic Area 42


Citations 43


Narrative Highlight: Top Publishing Institutions 44


All Fields 44


Computer Vision 46


Natural Language Processing 47


Speech Recognition 48


1.2. Trends in Significant Machine Learning Systems 49


General Machine Learning Systems 49


System Types 49


Sector Analysis 50


National Affiliation 51


Systems 51


Authorship 53


Parameter Trends 54


Compute Trends 56


Large Language and Multimodal Models 58


National Affiliation 58


Parameter Count 60


Training Compute 61


Training Cost 62


1.3. AI Conferences 64


Conference Attendance 64


1.4. Open-Source AI Software 66


Projects 66


Stars 68


CHAPTER 2: Technical Performance 69


Overview 72


Chapter Highlights 73


2.1. What's New in 2022: A Timeline 74


2.2. Computer Vision-Image 81


Image Classification 81


ImageNet 81


Face Detection and Recognition 82


National Institute of Standards and Technology Face Recognition Vendor Test (FRVT) 83


Deepfake Detection 84


Celeb-DF 84


Human Pose Estimation 85


MPII 85


Semantic Segmentation 86


Cityscapes Challenge, Pixel-Level Semantic Labeling Task 86


Medical Image Segmentation 87


Kvasir-SEG 87


Object Detection 88


Common Objects in Context (COCO) 88


Image Generation 89


CIFAR-10 and STL-10 89


Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at Progress in Image Generation 90


Visual Reasoning 92


Visual Question Answering (VQA) Challenge 92


Narrative Highlight: The Rise of Capable Multimodal Reasoning Systems 93


Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) 95


2.3. Computer Vision-Video 96


Activity Recognition 96


Kinetics-400, Kinetics-600, Kinetics-700 96


Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at the Progress of Video Generation 98


2.4. Language 99


English Language Understanding 99


SuperGLUE 99


Reading Comprehension Dataset Requiring Logical Reasoning (ReClor) 100


Narrative Highlight: Just How Much Better Have Language Models Become? 102


Narrative Highlight: Planning and Reasoning in Large Language Models 103


Text Summarization 104


arXiv and PubMed 104


Natural Language Inference 105


Abductive Natural Language Inference (aNLI) 105


Sentiment Analysis 106


SST-5 Fine-Grained Classification 106


Multitask Language Understanding 107


Massive Multitask Language Understanding (MMLU) 107


Machine Translation (MT) 108


Number of Commercially Available MT Systems 108


2.5. Speech 109


Speech Recognition 109


VoxCeleb 109


Narrative Highlight: Whisper 110


2.6. Reinforcement Learning 112


Reinforcement Learning Environments 112


Procgen 112


Narrative Highlight: Benchmark Saturation 114


2.7. Hardware 115


MLPerf Training 115


MLPerf Inference 117


Trends in GPUs: Performance and Price 118


2.8. Environment 120


Environmental Impact of Select Large Language Models 120


Narrative Highlight: Using AI to Optimize Energy Usage 122


2.9. AI for Science 123


Accelerating Fusion Science Through Learned Plasma Control 123


Discovering Novel Algorithms for Matrix Manipulation With AlphaTensor 123


Designing Arithmetic Circuits With Deep Reinforcement Learning 124


Unlocking de Novo Antibody Design With Generative AI 124


CHAPTER 3: Technical AI Ethics 125


Overview 128


Chapter Highlights 129


3.1. Meta-analysis of Fairness and Bias Metrics 130


Number of AI Fairness and Bias Metrics 130


Number of AI Fairness and Bias Metrics (Diagnostic Metrics Vs. Benchmarks) 131


3.2. AI Incidents 133


AI, Algorithmic, and Automation Incidents and Controversies (AIAAIC) Repository: Trends Over Time 133


AIAAIC: Examples of Reported Incidents 134


3.3. Natural Language Processing Bias Metrics 137


Number of Research Papers Using Perspective API 137


Winogender Task From the SuperGLUE Benchmark 138


Model Performance on the Winogender Task From the SuperGLUE Benchmark 138


Performance of Instruction-Tuned Models on Winogender 139


BBQ: The Bias Benchmark for Question Answering 140


Fairness and Bias Trade-Offs in NLP: HELM 142


Fairness in Machine Translation 143


RealToxicityPrompts 144


3.4. Conversational AI Ethical Issues 145


Gender Representation in Chatbots 145


Anthropomorphization in Chatbots 146


Narrative Highlight: Tricking ChatGPT 147


3.5. Fairness and Bias in Text-to-Image Models 148


Fairness in Text-to-Image Models (ImageNet Vs. Instagram) 148


VLStereoSet: StereoSet for Text-to-Image Models 150


Examples of Bias in Text-to-Image Models 152


Stable Diffusion 152


DALL-E 2 153


Midjourney 154


3.6. AI Ethics in China 155


Topics of Concern 155


Strategies for Harm Mitigation 156


Principles Referenced by Chinese Scholars in AI Ethics 157


3.7. AI Ethics Trends at FAccT and NeurIPS 158


ACM FAccT 158


Accepted Submissions by Professional Affiliation 158


Accepted Submissions by Geographic Region 159


NeurIPS 160


Real-World Impact 160


Interpretability and Explainability 161


Causal Effect and Counterfactual Reasoning 162


Privacy 163


Fairness and Bias 164


3.8. Factuality and Truthfulness 165


Automated Fact-Checking Benchmarks: Number of Citations 165


Missing Counterevidence and NLP Fact-Checking 166


TruthfulQA 167


CHAPTER 4: The Economy 168


Overview 170


Chapter Highlights 171


4.1. Jobs 173


AI Labor Demand 173


Global AI Labor Demand 173


U.S. AI Labor Demand by Skill Cluster and Specialized Skill 174


U.S. AI Labor Demand by Sector 176


U.S. AI Labor Demand by State 177


AI Hiring 180


AI Skill Penetration 182


Global Comparison: Aggregate 182


Global Comparison: By Gender 183


4.2. Investment 184


Corporate Investment 184


Startup Activity 187


Global Trend 187


Regional Comparison by Funding Amount 189


Regional Comparison by Newly Funded AI Companies 193


Focus Area Analysis 195


4.3. Corporate Activity 198


Industry Adoption 198


Adoption of AI Capabilities 198


Consideration and Mitigation of Risks From Adopting AI 206


Narrative Highlight: The Effects of GitHub's Copilot on Developer Productivity and Happiness 208


Industry Motivation 210


Perceived Importance of AI 210


AI Investments and Implementation Outcomes 211


Challenges in Starting and Scaling AI Projects 213


Earnings Calls 215


Aggregate Trends 215


Specific Themes 216


Narrative Highlight: What Are Business Leaders Actually Saying About AI? 217


Sentiment Analysis 219


4.4. Robot Installations 220


Aggregate Trends 220


Industrial Robots: Traditional Vs. Collaborative Robots 222


By Geographic Area 223


Narrative Highlight: Country-Level Data on Service Robotics 227


Sectors and Application Types 230


China Vs. United States 232


CHAPTER 5: Education 234


Overview 236


Chapter Highlights 237


5.1. Postsecondary AI Education 238


CS Bachelor's Graduates 238


CS Master's Graduates 240


CS PhD Graduates 242


CS, CE, and Information Faculty 246


Narrative Highlight: Who Funds CS Departments in the U.S.? 255


5.2. K-12 AI Education 257


United States 257


State-Level Trends 257


AP Computer Science 258


Narrative Highlight: The State of International K-12 Education 260


CHAPTER 6: Policy and Governance 263


Overview 265


Chapter Highlights 266


6.1. AI and Policymaking 267


Global Legislative Records on AI 267


By Geographic Area 269


Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at Global AI Legislation 270


United States Federal AI Legislation 271


United States State-Level AI Legislation 272


Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at State-Level AI Legislation 275


Global AI Mentions 276


By Geographic Area 277


Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at Global AI Mentions 279


United States Committee Mentions 280


United States AI Policy Papers 283


By Topic 284


6.2. National AI Strategies 285


Aggregate Trends 285


By Geographic Area 285


6.3. U.S. Public Investment in AI 286


Federal Budget for Nondefense AI R&D 286


U.S. Department of Defense Budget Requests 287


U.S. Government AI-Related Contract Spending 288


Total Contract Spending 288


6.4. U.S. AI-Related Legal Cases 291


Total Cases 291


Geographic Distribution 292


Sector 293


Type of Law 294


Narrative Highlight: Three Significant AI-Related Legal Cases 295


CHAPTER 7: Diversity 296


Overview 298


Chapter Highlights 299


7.1. AI Conferences 300


Women in Machine Learning (WiML) NeurIPS Workshop 300


Workshop Participants 300


Demographic Breakdown 301


7.2. AI Postsecondary Education 305


CS Bachelor's Graduates 305


CS Master's Graduates 307


CS PhD Graduates 309


Narrative Highlight: Disability Status of CS, CE, and Information Students 311


New AI PhDs 312


CS, CE, and Information Faculty 313


7.3. K-12 Education 316


AP Computer Science: Gender 316


AP Computer Science: Ethnicity 318


CHAPTER 8:Public Opinion 319


Overview 321


Chapter Highlights 322


8.1. Survey Data 323


Global Insights 323


AI Products and Services 323


AI: Harm or Help? 327


United States 329


Narrative Highlight: How Does the Natural Language Processing (NLP) Research Community Feel About AI? 334


8.2. Social Media Data 340


Dominant Models 340


Appendix 344


Chapter 1: Research and Development 346


Chapter 2: Technical Performance 352


Chapter 3: Technical AI Ethics 363


Chapter 4: The Economy 366


Chapter 5: Education 375


Chapter 6: Policy and Governance 377


Chapter 7: Diversity 384


Chapter 8: Public Opinion 385


Figures 24


Figure 1.1.1. Number of AI Publications in the World, 2010-21 24


Figure 1.1.2. Number of AI Publications by Type, 2010-21 25


Figure 1.1.3. Number of AI Publications by Field of Study (Excluding Other AI), 2010-21 26


Figure 1.1.4. AI Publications (% of Total) by Sector, 2010-21 27


Figure 1.1.5. AI Publications (% of Total) by Sector and Geographic Area, 2021 28


Figure 1.1.6. United States and China Collaborations in AI Publications, 2010-21 29


Figure 1.1.7. Cross-Country Collaborations in AI Publications (Excluding U.S. and China), 2010-21 30


Figure 1.1.8. Cross-Sector Collaborations in AI Publications, 2010-21 31


Figure 1.1.9. Number of AI Journal Publications, 2010-21 32


Figure 1.1.10. AI Journal Publications (% of World Total) by Region, 2010-21 33


Figure 1.1.11. AI Journal Publications (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 34


Figure 1.1.12. AI Journal Citations (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 35


Figure 1.1.13. Number of AI Conference Publications, 2010-21 36


Figure 1.1.14. AI Conference Publications (% of World Total) by Region, 2010-21 37


Figure 1.1.15. AI Conference Publications (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 38


Figure 1.1.16. AI Conference Citations (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 39


Figure 1.1.17. Number of AI Repository Publications, 2010-21 40


Figure 1.1.18. AI Repository Publications (% of World Total) by Region, 2010-21 41


Figure 1.1.19. AI Repository Publications (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 42


Figure 1.1.20. AI Repository Citations (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 43


Figure 1.1.21. Top Ten Institutions in the World in 2021 Ranked by Number of AI Publications in All Fields, 2010-21 44


Figure 1.1.22. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in All Fields, 2021 45


Figure 1.1.23. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in Computer Vision, 2021 46


Figure 1.1.24. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in Natural Language Processing, 2021 47


Figure 1.1.25. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in Speech Recognition, 2021 48


Figure 1.2.1. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Domain, 2022 49


Figure 1.2.2. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Sector, 2002-22 50


Figure 1.2.3. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2022 51


Figure 1.2.4. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Select Geographic Area, 2002-22 51


Figure 1.2.5. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2002-22 (Sum) 52


Figure 1.2.6. Number of Authors of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2022 53


Figure 1.2.7. Number of Authors of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Select Geographic Area, 2002-22 53


Figure 1.2.8. Number of Authors of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2002-22 (Sum) 53


Figure 1.2.9. Number of Parameters of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Sector, 1950-2022 54


Figure 1.2.10. Number of Parameters of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Domain, 1950-2022 55


Figure 1.2.11. Training Compute (FLOP) of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Sector, 1950-2022 56


Figure 1.2.12. Training Compute (FLOP) of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Domain, 1950-2022 57


Figure 1.2.13. Authors of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models (% of Total) by Country, 2019-22 58


Figure 1.2.14. Timeline and National Affiliation of Select Large Language and Multimodal Model Releases 59


Figure 1.2.15. Number of Parameters of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models, 2019-22 60


Figure 1.2.16. Training Compute (FLOP) of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models, 2019-22 61


Figure 1.2.17. Estimated Training Cost of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models 62


Figure 1.2.18. Estimated Training Cost of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models and Number of Parameters 63


Figure 1.2.19. Estimated Training Cost of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models and Training Compute (FLOP) 63


Figure 1.3.1. Number of Attendees at Select AI Conferences, 2010-22 64


Figure 1.3.2. Attendance at Large Conferences, 2010-22 65


Figure 1.3.3. Attendance at Small Conferences, 2010-22 65


Figure 1.4.1. Number of GitHub AI Projects, 2011-22 66


Figure 1.4.2. GitHub AI Projects (% Total) by Geographic Area, 2011-22 67


Figure 1.4.3. Number of GitHub Stars by Geographic Area, 2011-22 68


Figure 2.1.1. DeepMind Releases AlphaCode 74


Figure 2.1.2. DeepMind Trains Reinforcement Learning Agent to Control Nuclear Fusion Plasma in a Tokamak 74


Figure 2.1.3. IndicNLG Benchmarks Natural Language Generation for Indic Languages 74


Figure 2.1.4. Meta AI Releases Make-A-Scene 75


Figure 2.1.5. Google Releases PaLM 75


Figure 2.1.6. OpenAI Releases DALL-E 2 75


Figure 2.1.7. DeepMind Launches Gato 75


Figure 2.1.8. Google Releases Imagen 76


Figure 2.1.9. 442 Authors Across 132 Institutions Team Up to Launch BIG-bench 76


Figure 2.1.10. GitHub Makes Copilot Available as a Subscription-Based Service for Individual Developers 76


Figure 2.1.11. Nvidia Uses Reinforcement Learning to Design Better-Performing GPUs 77


Figure 2.1.12. Meta Announces 'No Language Left Behind' 77


Figure 2.1.13. Tsinghua Researchers Launch GLM-130B 77


Figure 2.1.14. Stability AI Releases Stable Diffusion 77


Figure 2.1.15. OpenAI Launches Whisper 78


Figure 2.1.16. Meta Releases Make-A-Video 78


Figure 2.1.17. DeepMind Launches AlphaTensor 78


Figure 2.1.18. Google Uses PaLM to Improve the Reasoning of PaLM 79


Figure 2.1.19. International Research Group Releases BLOOM 79


Figure 2.1.20. Stanford Researchers Release HELM 79


Figure 2.1.21. Meta Releases CICERO 80


Figure 2.1.22. OpenAI Launches ChatGPT 80


Figure 2.2.1. A Demonstration of Image Classification 81


Figure 2.2.2. ImageNet Challenge: Top-1 Accuracy 82


Figure 2.2.3. A Demonstration of Face Detection and Recognition 82


Figure 2.2.4. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Face Recognition Vendor Test (FRVT) : Verification Accuracy by Dataset 83


Figure 2.2.5. Real-Life Deepfake: President Zelenskyy Calling for the Surrender of Ukrainian Soldiers 84


Figure 2.2.6. Celeb-DF: Area Under Curve Score (AUC) 84


Figure 2.2.7. A Demonstration of Human Pose Estimation 85


Figure 2.2.8. MPII: Percentage of Correct Keypoints (PCK) 85


Figure 2.2.9. A Demonstration of Semantic Segmentation 86


Figure 2.2.10. Cityscapes Challenge, Pixel-Level Semantic Labeling Task: Mean Intersection-Over-Union (mIoU) 86


Figure 2.2.11. A Demonstration of Medical Imaging Segmentation 87


Figure 2.2.12. Kvasir-SEG: Mean Dice 87


Figure 2.2.13. A Demonstration of Object Detection 88


Figure 2.2.14. COCO: Mean Average Precision (mAP50) 88


Figure 2.2.15. Which Face Is Real? 89


Figure 2.2.16. CIFAR-10 and STL-10: Fréchet Inception Distance (FID) Score 89


Figure 2.2.17. GAN Progress on Face Generation 90


Figure 2.2.18. Images Generated by DALL-E 2, Stable Diffusion and Midjourney 90


Figure 2.2.19. Notable Text-to-Image Models on MS-COCO 256 × 256 FID-30K: Fréchet Inception Distance (FID) Score 91


Figure 2.2.20. A Collection of Visual Reasoning Tasks 92


Figure 2.2.21. Visual Question Answering (VQA) V2 Test-Dev: Accuracy 92


Figure 2.2.22. BEiT-3 Vs. Previous State-of-the-Art Models 93


Figure 2.2.23. A Collection of Vision-Language Tasks 94


Figure 2.2.24. A Sample Question from the Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) Challenge 95


Figure 2.2.25. Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) Task: Q→AR Score 95


Figure 2.3.1. Example Classes From the Kinetics Dataset 96


Figure 2.3.2. Kinetics-400, Kinetics-600, Kinetics-700: Top-1 Accuracy 97


Figure 2.2.3. Notable Text-to-Video Models on UCF-101: Inception Score (IS) 98


Figure 2.4.1. A Set of SuperGLUE Tasks 99


Figure 2.4.2. SuperGLUE: Score 100


Figure 2.4.3. A Sample Question from the Reading Comprehension Dataset Requiring Logical Reasoning (ReClor) 100


Figure 2.4.4. Reading Comprehension Dataset Requiring Logical Reasoning (ReClor): Accuracy 101


Figure 2.4.5. Select Large Language Models on the Blocksworld Domain: Instances Correct 103


Figure 2.4.6. ArXiv and PubMed: ROUGE-1 104


Figure 2.4.7. Sample Question From the Abductive Natural Language Inference Benchmark (aNLI) 105


Figure 2.4.8. Abductive Natural Language Inference (aNLI): Accuracy 105


Figure 2.4.9. A Sample Sentence from SST 106


Figure 2.4.10. SST-5 Fine-Grained: Accuracy 106


Figure 2.4.11. Sample Questions From MMLU 107


Figure 2.4.12. MMLU: Average Weighted Accuracy 107


Figure 2.4.13. Number of Independent Machine Translation Services 108


Figure 2.5.1. VoxCeleb: Equal Error Rate (EER) 109


Figure 2.5.2. wav2vec 2.0 Large (No LM) Vs. Whisper Large V2 Across Datasets 110


Figure 2.5.3. Notable Models on X→EN Subset of CoVoST 2 110


Figure 2.5.4. Notable Speech Transcription Services on Kincaid46 111


Figure 2.5.5. Notable Models on FLEURS: Language Identification Accuracy 111


Figure 2.6.1. The Different Environments in Procgen 112


Figure 2.6.2. Procgen: Mean of Min-Max Normalized Score 113


Figure 2.6.3. Improvement Over Time on Select AI Index Technical Performance Benchmarks 114


Figure 2.7.1. MLPerf Training Time of Top Systems by Task: Minutes 115


Figure 2.7.2. MLPerf Hardware: Accelerators 116


Figure 2.7.3. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Image Classification: Offline and Server Scenario 117


Figure 2.7.4. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Language Processing: Offline and Server Scenario 117


Figure 2.7.5. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Recommendation: Offline and Server Scenario 117


Figure 2.7.6. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Speech Recognition: Offline and Server Scenario 117


Figure 2.7.7. FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s) by Hardware Release Date, 2003-22 118


Figure 2.7.8. Median FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s), 2003-22 118


Figure 2.7.9. FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s) per U.S. Dollar by Hardware Release Date, 2003-22 119


Figure 2.7.10. Median FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s) per U.S. Dollar, 2003-22 119


Figure 2.8.1. Environmental Impact of Select Machine Learning Models, 2022 120


Figure 2.8.2. CO₂ Equivalent Emissions (Tonnes) by Selected Machine Learning Models and Real Life Examples, 2022 121


Figure 2.8.3. Energy Savings Results Over Time for Select BCOOLER Experiment 122


Figure 2.9.1. Photos of the Variable Configuration Tokamak (TCV) at EPFL 123


Figure 2.9.2. A Demonstration of AlphaTensor's Matrix Manipulation Process 123


Figure 2.9.3. A Juxtaposition of Nvidia Circuits Designed by PrefixRL Vs. EDA Tools 124


Figure 2.9.4. Zero-Shot Generative AI for de Novo Antibody Design 124


Figure 3.1.1. Number of AI Fairness and Bias Metrics, 2016-22 130


Figure 3.1.2. Number of New AI Fairness and Bias Metrics (Diagnostic Metrics Vs. Benchmarks), 2016-22 132


Figure 3.2.1. Number of AI Incidents and Controversies, 2012-21 133


Figure 3.2.2. (Omit) 134


Figure 3.2.3. (Omit) 135


Figure 3.2.4. (Omit) 135


Figure 3.2.5. (Omit) 136


Figure 3.2.6. (Omit) 136


Figure 3.3.1. Number of Research Papers Using Perspective API, 2018-22 137


Figure 3.3.2. Model Performance on the Winogender Task From the SuperGLUE Benchmark 138


Figure 3.3.3. Winogender: Zero Shot Evaluation in the Generative Setting 139


Figure 3.3.4. Bias in Question Answering on BBQ by Identity Characteristic: Ambiguous Contexts 141


Figure 3.3.5. Bias in Question Answering on BBQ by Identity Characteristic: Disambiguated Contexts 141


Figure 3.3.6. Fairness and Bias Tradeoff in NLP by Scenario 142


Figure 3.3.7. Translation Misgendering Performance: Overall, "He," and "She" 143


Figure 3.3.8. RealToxicityPrompts by Model 144


Figure 3.4.1. Gender Representation in Chatbots, 2022 145


Figure 3.4.2. Characterizing Anthropomorphization in Chatbots: Results by Dataset 146


Figure 3.4.3. Tricking ChatGPT Into Building a Dirty Bomb, Part 1 147


Figure 3.4.4. Tricking ChatGPT Into Building a Dirty Bomb, Part 2 147


Figure 3.5.1. Fairness Across Age Groups for Text-to-Image Models: ImageNet Vs. Instagram 149


Figure 3.5.2. Fairness Across Gender/Skin Tone Groups for Text-to-Image Models: ImageNet Vs. Instagram 149


Figure 3.5.3. An Example From VLStereoSet 150


Figure 3.5.4. Stereotypical Bias in Text-to-Image Models on VLStereoSet by Category: Vision-Language Relevance (vlrs) Vs. Bias (vlbs) Score 151


Figure 3.5.5. Bias in Stable Diffusion 152


Figure 3.5.6. Bias in DALL-E 2 153


Figure 3.5.7. Bias in Midjourney, Part 1 154


Figure 3.5.8. Bias in Midjourney, Part 2 154


Figure 3.5.9. Bias in Midjourney, Part 3 154


Figure 3.6.1. Topics of Concern Raised in Chinese AI Ethics Papers 155


Figure 3.6.2. AI Ethics in China: Strategies for Harm Mitigation Related to AI 156


Figure 3.6.3. AI Principles Referenced by Chinese Scholars in AI Ethics 157


Figure 3.7.1. Number of Accepted FAccT Conference Submissions by Affiliation, 2018-22 158


Figure 3.7.2. Number of Accepted FAccT Conference Submissions by Region, 2018-22 159


Figure 3.7.3. NeurIPS Workshop Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Real-World Impacts, 2015-22 160


Figure 3.7.4. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Interpretability and Explainability, 2015-22 161


Figure 3.7.5. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Causal Effect and Counterfactual Reasoning, 2015-22 162


Figure 3.7.6. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Privacy in AI, 2015-22 163


Figure 3.7.7. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Fairness and Bias in AI, 2015-22 164


Figure 3.8.1. Automated Fact-Checking Benchmarks: Number of Citations, 2017-22 165


Figure 3.8.2. Missing Counterevidence Renders NLP Fact-Checking Unrealistic for Misinformation 166


Figure 3.8.3. Multiple-Choice Task on TruthfulQA by Model: Accuracy 167


Figure 4.1.1. AI Job Postings (% of All Job Postings) by Geographic Area, 2014-22 173


Figure 4.1.2. AI Job Postings (% of All Job Postings) in the United States by Skill Cluster, 2010-22 174


Figure 4.1.3. Top Ten Specialized Skills in 2022 AI Job Postings in the United States, 2010-12 Vs. 2022 175


Figure 4.1.4. Top Ten Specialized Skills in 2022 AI Job Postings in the United States by Skill Share, 2010-12 Vs. 2022 175


Figure 4.1.5. AI Job Postings (% of All Job Postings) in the United States by Sector, 2021 Vs. 2022 176


Figure 4.1.6. Number of AI Job Postings in the United States by State, 2022 177


Figure 4.1.7. Percentage of U.S. States' Job Postings in AI, 2022 177


Figure 4.1.8. Percentage of United States AI Job postings by State, 2022 178


Figure 4.1.9. Percentage of U.S. States' Job Postings in AI by Select U.S. State, 2010-22 178


Figure 4.1.10. Percentage of United States AI Job Postings by Select U.S. State, 2010-22 179


Figure 4.1.11. Relative AI Hiring Index by Geographic Area, 2022 180


Figure 4.1.12. Relative AI Hiring Index by Geographic Area, 2016-22 181


Figure 4.1.13. Relative AI Skill Penetration Rate by Geographic Area, 2015-22 182


Figure 4.1.14. Relative AI Skill Penetration Rate Across Gender, 2015-22 183


Figure 4.2.1. Global Corporate Investment in AI by Investment Activity, 2013-22 184


Figure 4.2.2. Top Five AI Merger/Acquisition Investment Activities, 2022 185


Figure 4.2.3. Top Five AI Minority Stake Investment Activities, 2022 185


Figure 4.2.4. Top Five AI Private Investment Activities, 2022 186


Figure 4.2.5. Top Five AI Public Oering Investment Activities, 2022 186


Figure 4.2.6. Private Investment in AI, 2013-22 187


Figure 4.2.7. Number of Private Investment Events in AI, 2013-22 188


Figure 4.2.8. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies in the World, 2013-22 188


Figure 4.2.9. AI Private Investment Events by Funding Size, 2021 Vs. 2022 189


Figure 4.2.10. Private Investment in AI by Geographic Area, 2022 189


Figure 4.2.11. Private Investment in AI by Geographic Area, 2013-22 (Sum) 190


Figure 4.2.12. Private Investment in AI by Geographic Area, 2013-22 191


Figure 4.2.13. Top AI Private Investment Events in the United States, 2022 192


Figure 4.2.14. Top AI Private Investment Events in the European Union and United Kingdom, 2022 192


Figure 4.2.15. Top AI Private Investment Events in China, 2022 192


Figure 4.2.16. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies by Geographic Area, 2022 193


Figure 4.2.17. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies by Geographic Area, 2013-22 (Sum) 194


Figure 4.2.18. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies by Geographic Area, 2013-22 194


Figure 4.2.19. Private Investment in AI by Focus Area, 2021 Vs. 2022 195


Figure 4.2.20. Private Investment in AI by Focus Area, 2017-22 196


Figure 4.2.21. Private Investment in AI by Focus Area and Geographic Area, 2017-22 197


Figure 4.3.1. Share of Respondents Who Say Their Organizations Have Adopted AI in at Least One Function, 2017-22 198


Figure 4.3.2. Average Number of AI Capabilities That Respondents' Organizations Have Embedded Within at Least One Function or Business Unit, 2018-22 199


Figure 4.3.3. Most Commonly Adopted AI Use Cases by Function, 2022 200


Figure 4.3.4. AI Capabilities Embedded in at Least One Function or Business Unit, 2022 201


Figure 4.3.5. AI Adoption by Industry and Function, 2022 202


Figure 4.3.6. Percentage Point Change in Responses of AI Adoption by Industry and Function 2021 Vs. 2022 203


Figure 4.3.7. Cost Decrease and Revenue Increase From AI Adoption by Function, 2021 204


Figure 4.3.8. AI Adoption by Organizations in the World, 2021 Vs. 2022 205


Figure 4.3.9. Risks From Adopting AI That Organizations Consider Relevant, 2019-22 206


Figure 4.3.10. Risks From Adopting AI That Organizations Take Steps to Mitigate, 2019-22 207


Figure 4.3.11. Measuring Dimensions of Developer Productivity When Using Copilot: Survey Responses, 2022 209


Figure 4.3.12. Summary of the Experiment Process and Results 209


Figure 4.3.13. Importance of AI Solutions for Organizations' Overall Success 210


Figure 4.3.14. Believe AI Enhances Performance and Job Satisfaction, 2022 210


Figure 4.3.15. Expected AI Investment Increase in the Next Fiscal Year 211


Figure 4.3.16. Main Outcomes of AI Implementation, 2022 212


Figure 4.3.17. Top Three Challenges in Starting AI Projects, 2022 213


Figure 4.3.18. Main Barriers in Scaling AI Initiatives, 2022 214


Figure 4.3.19. Number of Fortune 500 Earnings Calls Mentioning AI, 2018-22 215


Figure 4.3.20. Themes for AI Mentions in Fortune 500 Earnings Calls, 2018 Vs. 2022 216


Figure 4.3.21. Sentiment Summary Distribution for AI Mentions in Fortune 500 Earnings Calls by Publication Date, 2018-22 219


Figure 4.4.1. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World, 2011-21 220


Figure 4.4.2. Operational Stock of Industrial Robots in the World, 2011-21 221


Figure 4.4.3. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World by Type, 2017-21 222


Figure 4.4.4. Number of Industrial Robots Installed by Country, 2021 223


Figure 4.4.5. Number of New Industrial Robots Installed in Top Five Countries, 2011-21 224


Figure 4.4.6. Number of Industrial Robots Installed (China Vs. Rest of the World), 2016-21 225


Figure 4.4.7. Annual Growth Rate of Industrial Robots Installed by Country, 2020 Vs. 2021 226


Figure 4.4.8. Service Robots in Medicine 227


Figure 4.4.9. Service Robots in Professional Cleaning 227


Figure 4.4.10. Service Robots in Maintenance and Inspection 227


Figure 4.4.11. Number of Professional Service Robots Installed in the World by Application Area, 2020 Vs. 2021 228


Figure 4.4.12. Number of Professional Service Robot Manufacturers in Top Countries by Type of Company, 2022 229


Figure 4.4.13. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World by Sector, 2019-21 230


Figure 4.4.14. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World by Application, 2019-21 231


Figure 4.4.15. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in China by Sector, 2019-21 232


Figure 4.4.16. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the United States by Sector, 2019-21 233


Figure 5.1.1. New CS Bachelor's Graduates in North America, 2010-21 238


Figure 5.1.2. New International CS Bachelor's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 239


Figure 5.1.3. New CS Master's Graduates in North America, 2010-21 240


Figure 5.1.4. New International CS Master's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 241


Figure 5.1.5. New CS PhD Graduates in North America, 2010-21 242


Figure 5.1.6. New International CS PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 243


Figure 5.1.7. New CS PhD Students (% of Total) Specializing in AI, 2010-21 244


Figure 5.1.8. Employment of New AI PhDs in North America by Sector, 2010-21 245


Figure 5.1.9. Employment of New AI PhDs (% of Total) in North America by Sector, 2010-21 245


Figure 5.1.10. Number of CS, CE, and Information Faculty in North America, 2011-21 246


Figure 5.1.11. Number of CS Faculty in the United States, 2011-21 247


Figure 5.1.12. New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Hires in North America, 2011-21 248


Figure 5.1.13. Source of New Faculty in North American CS, CE, and Information Departments, 2011-21 249


Figure 5.1.14. Share of Filled New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Positions in North America, 2011-21 250


Figure 5.1.15. Reason Why New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Positions Remained Uufilled (% OF Total), 2011-21 251


Figure 5.1.16. Median Nine-Month Salary of CS Faculty in United States, 2015-21 252


Figure 5.1.17. New International CS, CE, and Information Tenure-Track Faculty Hires (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 253


Figure 5.1.18. Faculty Losses in North American CS, CE, and Information Departments, 2011-21 254


Figure 5.1.19. External Funding Sources (% of Total) of CS Departments in United States, 2003-21 255


Figure 5.1.20. Median Total Expenditure From External Sources for Computing Research of U.S. CS Departments, 2011-21 256


Figure 5.2.1. States Requiring That All High Schools Offer a Computer Science Course, 2022 257


Figure 5.2.2. Public High Schools Teaching Computer Science (% of Total in State), 2022 257


Figure 5.2.3. Number of AP Computer Science Exams Taken, 2007-21 258


Figure 5.2.4. Number of AP Computer Science Exams Taken, 2021 259


Figure 5.2.5. Number of AP Computer Science Exams Taken per 100,000 Inhabitants, 2021 259


Figure 5.2.6. Government Implementation of AI Curricula by Country, Status, and Education Level 260


Figure 5.2.7. Time Allocated (% of Total) in K-12 AI Curricula by Topic, 2022 261


Figure 6.1.1. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law by Country, 2016-22 267


Figure 6.1.2. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in 127 Select Countries, 2016-22 268


Figure 6.1.3. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select Countries, 2022 269


Figure 6.1.4. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select Countries, 2016-22 (Sum) 269


Figure 6.1.5. AI-Related Legislation From Select Countries, 2022 270


Figure 6.1.6. Number of AI-Related Bills in the United States, 2015-22 (Proposed Vs. Passed) 271


Figure 6.1.7. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select U.S. States, 2022 272


Figure 6.1.8. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select U.S. States, 2016-22 (Sum) 273


Figure 6.1.9. Number of State-Level AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in the United States by State, 2016-22 (Sum) 273


Figure 6.1.10. Number of State-Level AI-Related Bills in the United States, 2015-22 (Proposed Vs. Passed) 274


Figure 6.1.11. AI-Related Legislation From Select States, 2022 275


Figure 6.1.12. Number of Mentions of AI in Legislative Proceedings in 81 Select Countries, 2016-22 276


Figure 6.1.13. Number of Mentions of AI in Legislative Proceedings by Country, 2022 277


Figure 6.1.14. Number of Mentions of AI in Legislative Proceedings by Country, 2016-22 (Sum) 278


Figure 6.1.15. AI-Related Parliamentary Men tions From Select Countries, 2022 279


Figure 6.1.16. Mentions of AI in U.S. Committee Reports by Legislative Session, 2001-22 280


Figure 6.1.17. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. House of Representatives for the 117th Congressional Session, 2021-22 281


Figure 6.1.18. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. Senate for the 117th Congressional Session, 2021-22 281


Figure 6.1.19. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. Senate, 2001-22 (Sum) 282


Figure 6.1.20. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. House of Representatives, 2001-22 (Sum) 282


Figure 6.1.21. Number of AI-Related Policy Papers by U.S.-Based Organizations, 2018-22 283


Figure 6.1.22. Number of AI-Related Policy Papers by U.S.-Based Organization by Topic, 2022 284


Figure 6.2.1. Yearly Release of AI National Strategies by Country 285


Figure 6.2.2. Countries With a National Strategy on AI, 2022 285


Figure 6.2.3. AI National Strategies in Development by Country and Year 285


Figure 6.3.1. U.S. Federal Budget for Nondefense AI R&D, FY 2018-23 286


Figure 6.3.2. U.S. DoD Budget Request for AI-Specific Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation (RDT&E), FY 2020-23 287


Figure 6.3.3. U.S. Government Spending by Segment, FY 2017-22 288


Figure 6.3.4. U.S. Government Spending by Segment, FY 2021 Vs. 2022 289


Figure 6.3.5. Total Value of Contracts, Grants, and OTAs Awarded by the U.S. Government for AI/ML and Autonomy, FY 2017-22 290


Figure 6.4.1. Number of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States, 2000-22 291


Figure 6.4.2. Number of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States by State, 2022 292


Figure 6.4.3. Number of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States by State, 2000-22 (Sum) 293


Figure 6.4.4. Sector at Issue in AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States, 2022 293


Figure 6.4.5. Area of Law of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States, 2022 294


Figure 7.1.1. Attendance at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2010-22 300


Figure 7.1.2. Continent of Residence of Participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 301


Figure 7.1.3. Gender Breakdown of Participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 302


Figure 7.1.4. Professional Positions of Participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 303


Figure 7.1.5. Primary Subject Area of Submissions at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 304


Figure 7.2.1. Gender of New CS Bachelor's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 305


Figure 7.2.2. Ethnicity of New Resident CS Bachelor's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 306


Figure 7.2.3. Gender of New CS Master's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 307


Figure 7.2.4. Ethnicity of New Resident CS Master's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 308


Figure 7.2.5. Gender of New CS PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 309


Figure 7.2.6. Ethnicity of New Resident CS PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 310


Figure 7.2.7. CS, CE, and Information Students (% of Total) With Disability Accomodations in North America, 2021 311


Figure 7.2.8. Gender of New AI PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 312


Figure 7.2.9. Gender of CS, CE, and Information Faculty (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 313


Figure 7.2.10. Gender of New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Hires (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 314


Figure 7.2.11. Ethnicity of Resident CS, CE, and Information Faculty (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 315


Figure 7.3.1. AP Computer Science Exams Taken (% of Total) by Gender, 2007-21 316


Figure 7.3.2. AP Computer Science Exams Taken by Female Students (% of Total), 2021 317


Figure 7.3.3. AP Computer Science Exams Taken (% of Total Responding Students) by Race/Ethnicity, 2007-21 318


Figure 8.1.1. Global Opinions on Products and Services Using AI (% of Total), 2022 323


Figure 8.1.2. 'Products and services using AI have more benefits than drawbacks,' by Country (% of Total), 2022 324


Figure 8.1.3. Opinions About AI by Country (% Agreeing With Statement), 2022 325


Figure 8.1.4. Opinions About AI by Demographic Group (% Agreeing With Statement), 2022 326


Figure 8.1.5. Views on Whether AI Will 'Mostly Help' or 'Mostly Harm' People in the Next 20 Years Overall and by Gender (% of Total), 2021 327


Figure 8.1.6. Views on Whether AI Will 'Mostly Help' or 'Mostly Harm' People in the Next 20 Years by Region: Ratio of 'Mostly Help'/'Mostly Harm', 2021 328


Figure 8.1.7. Perceptions of the Safety of Self-Driving Cars (% of Total), 2021 328


Figure 8.1.8. Americans' Feelings Toward Increased Use of AI Programs in Daily Life (% of Total), 2022 329


Figure 8.1.9. Americans' Feelings on Potential AI Applications (% of Total), 2022 329


Figure 8.1.10. Americans' Perceptions of Specific AI Use Cases (% of Total), 2022 330


Figure 8.1.11. Main Reason Americans Are Concerned About AI (% of Total), 2022 331


Figure 8.1.12. Main Reason Americans Are Excited About AI (% of Total), 2022 332


Figure 8.1.13. People Whose Experiences and Views Are Considered in the Design of AI Systems (% of Total), 2022 333


Figure 8.1.14. State of the Field According to the NLP Community, 2022 334


Figure 8.1.15. Language Understanding According to the NLP Community, 2022 335


Figure 8.1.16. Ethics According to the NLP Community, 2022 336


Figure 8.1.17. Artifiial General Intelligence (AGI) and Major Risks According to the NLP Community, 2022 337


Figure 8.1.18. Promising Research Programs According to the NLP Community, 2022 338


Figure 8.1.19. Scale, Inductive Bias, and Adjacent Fields According to the NLP Community, 2022 339


Figure 8.2.1. Net Sentiment Score of AI Models by Quarter, 2022 341


Figure 8.2.2. Select Models' Share of AI Social Media Attention by Quarter, 2022 343


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