Artificial intelligence index report 2024

(2024년 인공지능 지수 보고서)

□ 스탠퍼드대학교 인간중심 AI 연구소(HAI)는 Artificial intelligence index report 2024를 발간하고 전 세계 AI 기술 발전, 경제적 투자, 연구 성과 및 여론 현황을 종합적으로 분석하여 발표함

ㅇ AI 연구 및 개발 분야에서 미국은 2023년 기준 61개의 주목할 만한(notable) 머신러닝 모델을 배출하며, 유럽연합(21개)과 중국(15개)을 크게 앞서 선두를 유지함

- 2023년 발표된 파운데이션 모델(Foundation Models)의 수에서도 미국이 109개로 가장 많았으며, 중국(20개)과 영국(8개)이 그 뒤를 이음

- 특허 분야에서는 중국이 2022년 전 세계 AI 특허의 61.1%를 차지하며 미국(20.9%)을 크게 앞질러 지배적인 위치를 점하고 있음


□ 2023년 전 세계 AI 민간 투자 총액은 2년 연속 감소했으나, 생성형 AI(Generative AI)에 대한 투자는 급증하여 2022년 대비 8배 가까이 증가한 252억 달러를 기록함

ㅇ 국가별 민간 투자 규모에서 미국은 672억 달러를 유치하여, 2위인 중국(78억 달러)의 약 8.7배, 3위인 영국(38억 달러)의 17.8배에 달하는 압도적인 1위를 차지함

- 생성형 AI 분야의 투자 격차는 더욱 커져, 2023년 미국은 225억 달러를 투자한 반면, 중국은 6.5억 달러, 유럽연합과 영국은 합산 7.4억 달러에 그침

- 새로 펀딩을 받은 AI 기업 수에서도 미국은 897개로 1위를 기록했으며, 중국(122개)과 영국(104개)이 뒤를 이음


□ 국가별 AI 인재 및 고용 시장 지표에서는 미국, 인도, 싱가포르 등이 두각을 나타냄

ㅇ 2023년 기준 링크드인(LinkedIn) 데이터 기반의 AI 기술 침투율(Skill Penetration)은 인도가 2.8배로 가장 높았으며, 미국(2.2배), 독일(1.9배) 순으로 나타남

- 인구 대비 AI 특허 수에서는 한국이 인구 10만 명당 10.3건으로 세계 1위를 차지했으며, 룩셈부르크(8.8건)와 미국(4.2건)이 상위권을 기록함

- AI 인재의 순이동(Net Migration) 지표에서는 룩셈부르크, 스위스, 아랍에미리트(UAE)가 인재 유입이 가장 활발한 국가로 나타남


□ AI에 대한 대중의 인식 조사에서는 아시아 국가들이 긍정적인 반면, 서구권 국가들은 상대적으로 불안감을 느끼는 경향을 보임

ㅇ 입소스(Ipsos) 조사 결과, 인도네시아(78%), 태국(74%), 멕시코(73%) 응답자들은 AI 제품 및 서비스의 장점이 단점보다 많다고 응답하여 높은 긍정적 인식을 보임

- 반면 미국(37%), 프랑스(31%) 등 서구권 국가들은 긍정적 응답 비율이 낮았으나, 네덜란드(43%) 등 일부 국가에서는 전년 대비 긍정적 인식이 상승하는 추세를 보임

- 2023년 AI 관련 입법 활동은 전 세계적으로 활발해져, 미국에서는 25건의 AI 관련 규제가 제정되었고, 유럽연합은 포괄적인 AI 법안(AI Act)에 합의하는 등 규제 움직임이 강화됨

목차

Title page 1


Contents 13


Report Highlights 14


CHAPTER 1: Research and Development 27


Overview 29


Chapter Highlights 30


1.1. Publications 31


Overview 31


Total Number of AI Publications 31


By Type of Publication 32


By Field of Study 33


By Sector 34


AI Journal Publications 36


AI Conference Publications 37


1.2. Patents 38


AI Patents 38


Overview 38


By Filing Status and Region 39


1.3. Frontier AI Research 45


General Machine Learning Models 45


Overview 45


Sector Analysis 46


National Affiliation 47


Parameter Trends 49


Compute Trends 50


Highlight: Will Models Run Out of Data? 52


Foundation Models 56


Model Release 56


Organizational Affiliation 58


National Affiliation 61


Training Cost 63


1.4. AI Conferences 66


Conference Attendance 66


1.5. Open-Source AI Software 69


Projects 69


Stars 71


CHAPTER 2: Technical Performance 73


Overview 76


Chapter Highlights 77


2.1. Overview of AI in 2023 78


Timeline: Significant Model Releases 78


State of AI Performance 81


AI Index Benchmarks 82


2.2. Language 85


Understanding 86


HELM: Holistic Evaluation of Language Models 86


MMLU: Massive Multitask Language Understanding 87


Generation 88


Chatbot Arena Leaderboard 88


Factuality and Truthfulness 90


TruthfulQA 90


HaluEval 92


2.3. Coding 94


Generation 94


HumanEval 94


SWE-bench 95


2.4. Image Computer Vision and Image Generation 96


Generation 96


HEIM: Holistic Evaluation of Text-to-Image Models 97


Highlighted Research: MVDream 98


Instruction-Following 99


VisIT-Bench 99


Editing 100


EditVal 100


Highlighted Research: ControlNet 101


Highlighted Research: Instruct-NeRF2NeRF 103


Segmentation 105


Highlighted Research: Segment Anything 105


3D Reconstruction From Images 107


Highlighted Research: Skoltech3D 107


Highlighted Research: RealFusion 108


2.5. Video Computer Vision and Video Generation 109


Generation 109


UCF101 109


Highlighted Research: Align Your Latents 110


Highlighted Research: Emu Video 111


2.6. Reasoning 112


General Reasoning 112


MMMU: A Massive Multi-discipline Multimodal Understanding and Reasoning Benchmark for Expert AGI 112


GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmark 115


Highlighted Research: Comparing Humans, GPT-4, and GPT-4V on Abstraction and Reasoning Tasks 116


Mathematical Reasoning 117


GSM8K 117


MATH 119


PlanBench 120


Visual Reasoning 121


Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) 121


Moral Reasoning 122


MoCa 122


Causal Reasoning 124


BigToM 124


Highlighted Research: Tübingen Cause-Effect Pairs 126


2.7. Audio 127


Generation 127


Highlighted Research: UniAudio 128


Highlighted Research: MusicGEN and MusicLM 129


2.8. Agents 131


General Agents 131


AgentBench 131


Highlighted Research: Voyageur 133


Task-Specific Agents 134


MLAgentBench 134


2.9. Robotics 135


Highlighted Research: PaLM-E 135


Highlighted Research: RT-2 137


2.10. Reinforcement Learning 138


Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback 138


Highlighted Research: RLAIF 139


Highlighted Research: Direct Preference Optimization 140


2.11. Properties of LLMs 141


Highlighted Research: Challenging the Notion of Emergent Behavior 141


Highlighted Research: Changes in LLM Performance Over Time 143


Highlighted Research: LLMs Are Poor Self-Correctors 145


Closed vs. Open Model Performance 146


2.12. Techniques for LLM Improvement 148


Prompting 148


Highlighted Research: Graph of Thoughts Prompting 148


Highlighted Research: Optimization by PROmpting (OPRO) 150


Fine-Tuning 151


Highlighted Research: QLoRA 151


Attention 152


Highlighted Research: Flash-Decoding 152


2.13. Environmental Impact of AI Systems 154


General Environmental Impact 154


Training 154


Inference 156


Positive Use Cases 157


CHAPTER 3: Responsible AI 158


Overview 160


Chapter Highlights 161


3.1. Assessing Responsible AI 163


Responsible AI Definitions 163


AI Incidents 164


Examples 164


Risk Perception 166


Risk Mitigation 167


Overall Trustworthiness 168


Benchmarking Responsible AI 169


Tracking Notable Responsible AI Benchmarks 169


Reporting Consistency 170


3.2. Privacy and Data Governance 172


Current Challenges 172


Privacy and Data Governance in Numbers 173


Academia 173


Industry 174


Featured Research 175


Extracting Data From LLMs 175


Foundation Models and Verbatim Generation 177


Auditing Privacy in AI Models 179


3.3. Transparency and Explainability 180


Current Challenges 180


Transparency and Explainability in Numbers 181


Academia 181


Industry 182


Featured Research 183


The Foundation Model Transparency Index 183


Neurosymbolic Artificial Intelligence (Why, What, and How) 185


3.4. Security and Safety 186


Current Challenges 186


AI Security and Safety in Numbers 187


Academia 187


Industry 188


Featured Research 191


Do-Not-Answer: A New Open Dataset for Comprehensive Benchmarking of LLM Safety Risks 191


Universal and Transferable Attacks on Aligned Language Models 193


MACHIAVELLI Benchmark 195


3.5. Fairness 197


Current Challenges 197


Fairness in Numbers 197


Academia 197


Industry 198


Featured Research 199


(Un)Fairness in AI and Healthcare 199


Social Bias in Image Generation Models 200


Measuring Subjective Opinions in LLMs 201


LLM Tokenization Introduces Unfairness 203


3.6. AI and Elections 205


Generation, Dissemination, and Detection of Disinformation 205


Generating Disinformation 205


Dissemination of Fake Content 207


Detecting Deepfakes 208


LLMs and Political Bias 210


Impact of AI on Political Processes 211


CHAPTER 4: Economy 213


Overview 215


Chapter Highlights 216


4.1. What's New in 2023: A Timeline 218


4.2. Jobs 223


AI Labor Demand 223


Global AI Labor Demand 223


U.S. AI Labor Demand by Skill Cluster and Specialized Skill 224


U.S. AI Labor Demand by Sector 228


U.S. AI Labor Demand by State 229


AI Hiring 232


AI Skill Penetration 234


AI Talent 236


Highlight: How Much Do Computer Scientists Earn? 240


4.3. Investment 242


Corporate Investment 242


Startup Activity 243


Global Trends 243


Regional Comparison by Funding Amount 247


Regional Comparison by Newly Funded AI Companies 251


Focus Area Analysis 254


4.4. Corporate Activity 258


Industry Adoption 258


Adoption of AI Capabilities 258


Adoption of Generative AI Capabilities 266


Use of AI by Developers 269


Preference 269


Workflow 270


AI's Labor Impact 272


Earnings Calls 277


Aggregate Trends 277


Specific Themes 278


Highlight: Projecting AI's Economic Impact 279


4.5. Robot Installations 283


Aggregate Trends 283


Industrial Robots: Traditional vs. Collaborative Robots 285


By Geographic Area 286


Country-Level Data on Service Robotics 290


Sectors and Application Types 292


China vs. United States 294


CHAPTER 5: Science and Medicine 296


Overview 298


Chapter Highlights 299


5.1. Notable Scientific Milestones 300


AlphaDev 300


FlexiCubes 301


Synbot 303


GraphCast 304


GNoME 305


Flood Forecasting 306


5.2. AI in Medicine 307


Notable Medical Systems 307


SynthSR 307


Coupled Plasmonic Infrared Sensors 309


EVEscape 310


AlphaMissence 312


Human Pangenome Reference 313


Clinical Knowledge 314


MedQA 314


Highlighted Research: GPT-4 Medprompt 315


Highlighted Research: MediTron-70B 317


Diagnosis 318


Highlighted Research: CoDoC 318


Highlighted Research: CT Panda 319


Other Diagnostic Uses 320


FDA-Approved AI-Related Medical Devices 321


Administration and Care 323


Highlighted Research: MedAlign 323


CHAPTER 6: Education 325


Overview 327


Chapter Highlights 328


6.1. Postsecondary CS and AI Education 329


United States and Canada 329


CS Bachelor's Graduates 329


CS Master's Graduates 331


CS PhD Graduates 333


CS, CE, and Information Faculty 336


Europe 344


Informatics, CS, CE, and IT Bachelor's Graduates 344


Informatics, CS, CE, and IT Master's Graduates 347


Informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD Graduates 351


AI-Related Study Programs 355


Total Courses 355


Education Level 356


Geographic Distribution 357


6.2. K-12 CS and AI Education 359


United States 359


State-Level Trends 359


AP Computer Science 361


Highlight: Access Issues 363


Highlight: ChatGPT Usage Among Teachers and Students 364


CHAPTER 7: Policy and Governance 366


Overview 368


Chapter Highlights 369


7.1. Overview of AI Policy in 2023 370


7.2. AI and Policymaking 376


Global Legislative Records on AI 376


Overview 376


By Geographic Area 378


By Relevance 379


By Approach 380


By Subject Matter 381


U.S. Legislative Records 382


Federal Level 382


State Level 383


AI Mentions 385


Overview 385


U.S. Committee Mentions 388


7.3. National AI Strategies 391


By Geographic Area 391


7.4. AI Regulation 393


U.S. Regulation 393


Overview 393


By Relevance 394


By Agency 395


By Approach 396


By Subject Matter 397


EU Regulation 398


Overview 398


By Relevance 399


By Agency 400


By Approach 401


By Subject Matter 402


7.5. U.S. Public Investment in AI 403


Federal Budget for AI R&D 403


U.S. Department of Defense Budget Requests 405


U.S. Government AI-Related Contract Spending 406


AI Contract Spending 406


Microelectronics and Semiconductor Spending 409


CHAPTER 8: Diversity 411


Overview 413


Chapter Highlights 414


8.1. AI Postsecondary Education 415


North America 415


CS Bachelor's Graduates 415


CS Master's Graduates 417


CS PhD Graduates 419


Disability Status of CS, CE, and Information Students 421


CS, CE, and Information Faculty 422


Europe 425


Informatics, CS, CE, and IT Bachelor's Graduates 425


Informatics, CS, CE, and IT Master's Graduates 425


Informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD Graduates 425


8.2. AI Conferences 429


Women in Machine Learning (WiML) NeurIPS Workshop 429


Workshop Participants 429


Demographic Breakdown 430


8.3. K-12 Education 432


AP Computer Science: Gender 432


AP Computer Science: Ethnicity 433


CHAPTER 9: Public Opinion 435


Overview 437


Chapter Highlights 438


9.1. Survey Data 439


Global Public Opinion 439


AI Products and Services 439


AI and Jobs 444


AI and Livelihood 446


Attitudes on ChatGPT 448


AI Concerns 451


U.S. Public Opinion 452


9.2. Social Media Data 454


Dominant Models 454


Highlight: AI-Related Social Media Discussion in 2023 456


Appendix 458


Chapter 1: Research and Development 460


Chapter 2: Technical Performance 465


Chapter 3: Responsible AI 472


Chapter 4: Economy 478


Chapter 5: Science and Medicine 488


Chapter 6: Education 491


Chapter 7: Policy and Governance 495


Chapter 8: Diversity 500


Chapter 9: Public Opinion 501


Figures 31


Figure 1.1.1. Number of AI publications in the world, 2010-22 31


Figure 1.1.2. Number of AI publications by type, 2010-22 32


Figure 1.1.3. Number of AI publications by field of study (excluding Other AI), 2010-22 33


Figure 1.1.4. AI publications (% of total) by sector, 2010-22 34


Figure 1.1.5. AI publications (% of total) by sector and geographic area, 2022 35


Figure 1.1.6. Number of AI journal publications, 2010-22 36


Figure 1.1.7. Number of AI conference publications, 2010-22 37


Figure 1.2.1. Number of AI patents granted, 2010-22 38


Figure 1.2.2. AI patents by application status, 2010-22 39


Figure 1.2.3. AI patents by application status by geographic area, 2010-22 40


Figure 1.2.4. Granted AI patents (% of world total) by region, 2010-22 41


Figure 1.2.5. Granted AI patents (% of world total) by geographic area, 2010-22 42


Figure 1.2.6. Granted AI patents per 100,000 inhabitants by country, 2022 43


Figure 1.2.7. Percentage change of granted AI patents per 100,000 inhabitants by country, 2012 vs. 2022 44


Figure 1.3.1. Number of notable machine learning models by sector, 2003-23 46


Figure 1.3.2. Number of notable machine learning models by geographic area, 2023 47


Figure 1.3.3. Number of notable machine learning models by select geographic area, 2003-23 47


Figure 1.3.4. Number of notable machine learning models by geographic area, 2003-23 (sum) 48


Figure 1.3.5. Number of parameters of notable machine learning models by sector, 2003-23 49


Figure 1.3.6. Training compute of notable machine learning models by sector, 2003-23 50


Figure 1.3.7. Training compute of notable machine learning models by domain, 2012-23 51


Figure 1.3.8. Projections of ML data exhaustion by stock type: median and 90% CI dates 52


Figure 1.3.9. A demonstration of model collapse in a VAE 53


Figure 1.3.10. Convergence of generated data densities in descendant models 54


Figure 1.3.11. An example of MAD in image-generation models 55


Figure 1.3.12. Assessing FFHQ syntheses: FID, precision, and recall in synthetic and mixed-data training loops 55


Figure 1.3.13. Foundation models by access type, 2019-23 56


Figure 1.3.14. Foundation models (% of total) by access type, 2019-23 57


Figure 1.3.15. Number of foundation models by sector, 2019-23 58


Figure 1.3.16. Number of foundation models by organization, 2023 59


Figure 1.3.17. Number of foundation models by organization, 2019-23 (sum) 60


Figure 1.3.18. Number of foundation models by geographic area, 2023 61


Figure 1.3.19. Number of foundation models by select geographic area, 2019-23 61


Figure 1.3.20. Number of foundation models by geographic area, 2019-23 (sum) 62


Figure 1.3.21. Estimated training cost of select AI models, 2017-23 64


Figure 1.3.22. Estimated training cost of select AI models, 2016-23 64


Figure 1.3.23. Estimated training cost and compute of select AI models 65


Figure 1.4.1. Attendance at select AI conferences, 2010-23 66


Figure 1.4.2. Attendance at large conferences, 2010-23 67


Figure 1.4.3. Attendance at small conferences, 2010-23 68


Figure 1.5.1. Number of GitHub AI projects, 2011-23 69


Figure 1.5.2. GitHub AI projects (% of total) by geographic area, 2011-23 70


Figure 1.5.3. Number of GitHub stars in AI projects, 2011-23 71


Figure 1.5.4. Number of GitHub stars by geographic area, 2011-23 72


Figure 2.1.1. (Omit) 78


Figure 2.1.2. (Omit) 78


Figure 2.1.3. (Omit) 78


Figure 2.1.4. (Omit) 78


Figure 2.1.5. (Omit) 79


Figure 2.1.6. (Omit) 79


Figure 2.1.7. (Omit) 79


Figure 2.1.8. (Omit) 79


Figure 2.1.9. (Omit) 79


Figure 2.1.10. (Omit) 79


Figure 2.1.11. (Omit) 80


Figure 2.1.12. (Omit) 80


Figure 2.1.13. (Omit) 80


Figure 2.1.14. (Omit) 80


Figure 2.1.15. (Omit) 80


Figure 2.1.16. Select AI Index technical performance benchmarks vs. human performance 81


Figure 2.1.17. A selection of deprecated benchmarks from the 2023 AI Index report 82


Figure 2.1.18. Year-over-year improvement over time on select AI Index technical performance benchmarks 83


Figure 2.1.19. New benchmarks featured in the 2024 AI Index report 84


Figure 2.2.1. A sample output from GPT-4 85


Figure 2.2.2. Gemini handling image and audio inputs 85


Figure 2.2.3. HELM: mean win rate 86


Figure 2.2.4. Leaders on individual HELM sub-benchmarks 86


Figure 2.2.5. A sample question from MMLU 87


Figure 2.2.6. MMLU: average accuracy 87


Figure 2.2.7. A sample model response on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard 88


Figure 2.2.8. LMSYS Chatbot Arena for LLMs: Elo rating 89


Figure 2.2.9. Sample TruthfulQA questions 90


Figure 2.2.10. Multiple-choice task on TruthfulQA: MC1 91


Figure 2.2.11. A generated hallucinated QA example and a human-labeled ChatGPT response for a user query 92


Figure 2.2.12. HaluEnal hallucination classification accuracy 93


Figure 2.3.1. Sample HumanEval problem 94


Figure 2.3.2. HumanEval: Pass@1 94


Figure 2.3.3. A sample model input from SWE-bench 95


Figure 2.3.4. SWE-bench: percent resolved 95


Figure 2.4.1. Which face is real? 96


Figure 2.4.2. Midjourney generations over time: "a hyper-realistic image of Harry Potter" 96


Figure 2.4.3. Image-text alignment: human evaluation 97


Figure 2.4.4. Model leaders on select HEIM sub-benchmarks 97


Figure 2.4.5. Sample generations from MVDream 98


Figure 2.4.6. Quantitative evaluation on image synthesis quality 98


Figure 2.4.7/Figure 2.4.8. A sample VisIT-Bench instruction set 99


Figure 2.4.8/Figure 2.4.9. VisIT-Bench: Elo rating 99


Figure 2.4.9/Figure 2.4.10. A sample VisIT-Bench instruction set 100


Figure 2.4.10/Figure 2.4.11. EditVal automatic evaluation: editing accuracy 100


Figure 2.4.11/Figure 2.4.12. Sample edits using ControlNet 101


Figure 2.4.12/Figure 2.4.13. Average User Ranking (AUR): result quality and condition fidelity 102


Figure 2.4.13/Figure 2.4.14. A demonstration of Instruct-NeRF2NeRF in action 103


Figure 2.4.14/Figure 2.4.15. Evaluating text-image alignment and frame consistency 104


Figure 2.4.15/Figure 2.4.16. Various segmentation masks created by Segment Anything 105


Figure 2.4.16/Figure 2.4.17. SAM vs. RITM: mean IoU 106


Figure 2.4.17/Figure 2.4.18. Objects from the 3D reconstruction dataset 107


Figure 2.4.18/Figure 2.4.19. Skoltech3D vs. the most widely used multisensor datasets 107


Figure 2.4.19/Figure 2.4.20. Sample generations from RealFusion 108


Figure 2.4.20/Figure 2.4.21. Object reconstruction: RealFusion vs. Shelf-Supervised 108


Figure 2.5.1. Sample frames from UCF101 109


Figure 2.5.2. UCF101: FVD16 109


Figure 2.5.3. High-quality generation of milk dripping into a cup of coffee 110


Figure 2.5.4. Video LDM vs. LVG: FVD and FID 110


Figure 2.5.5. Sample Emu Video generations 111


Figure 2.5.6. Emu Video vs. prior works: human-evaluated video quality and text faithfulness win rate 111


Figure 2.6.1. Sample MMMU questions 113


Figure 2.6.2. MMMU: overall accuracy 114


Figure 2.6.3. MMMU: subject-specific accuracy 114


Figure 2.6.4. A sample chemistry question from GPQA 115


Figure 2.6.5. GPQA: accuracy on the main set 115


Figure 2.6.6. A sample ARC reasoning task 116


Figure 2.6.7. ConceptARC: accuracy on minimal tasks over all concepts 116


Figure 2.6.8. Sample problems from GSM8K 117


Figure 2.6.9. GSM8K: accuracy 118


Figure 2.6.10. A sample problem from the MATH dataset 119


Figure 2.6.11. MATH word problem-solving: accuracy 119


Figure 2.6.12. GPT-4 vs. I-GPT-3 on PlanBench 120


Figure 2.6.13. A sample question from the Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) challenge 121


Figure 2.6.14. Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) task: Q→AR score 121


Figure 2.6.15. A moral story from MoCa 122


Figure 2.6.16. Zero-shot alignment with human judgments on the moral permissibility task: discrete agreement 123


Figure 2.6.17. Sample BigToM scenario 124


Figure 2.6.18. Forward action inference with initial belief: accuracy 125


Figure 2.6.19. Backward belief inference with initial belief: accuracy 125


Figure 2.6.20. Forward belief inference with initial belief: accuracy 125


Figure 2.6.21. Sample cause-effect pairs from the Tübingen dataset 126


Figure 2.6.22. Performance on the Tübingen Cause-Effect Pairs dataset: accuracy 126


Figure 2.7.1. UniAudio vs. selected prior works in the training stage: objective evaluation metrics 128


Figure 2.7.2. Evaluation of MusicGen and baseline models on MusicCaps 130


Figure 2.8.1. Description of the AgentBench benchmark 131


Figure 2.8.2. AgentBench across eight environments: overall score 132


Figure 2.8.3. Voyager in action 133


Figure 2.8.4. Voyager's performance improvements over prior state of the art in Minecraft 133


Figure 2.8.5. MLAgentBench evaluation: success rate of select models across tasks 134


Figure 2.9.1. PaLM-E in action 136


Figure 2.9.2. Performance of select models on TAMP environment: success rate 136


Figure 2.9.3. Select models on mobile manipulation environment tests: failure detection 136


Figure 2.9.4. Evaluation of RT-2 models and baselines on seen and unseen tasks: success rate 137


Figure 2.10.1. Number of foundation models using RLHF, 2021-23 138


Figure 2.10.2. RLHF usage among foundation models 138


Figure 2.10.3. RLAIF and RLHF vs. SFT baseline: win rate 139


Figure 2.10.4. Harmless rate by policy 139


Figure 2.10.5. Comparison of different algorithms on TL;DR summarization task across different sampling temperatures 140


Figure 2.11.1. Emergence score over all Big-bench tasks 142


Figure 2.11.2. Performance of the March 2023 and June 2023 versions of GPT-4 on eight tasks 144


Figure 2.11.3. GPT-4 on reasoning benchmarks with intrinsic self-correction 145


Figure 2.11.4. Score differentials of top closed vs. open models on select benchmarks 146


Figure 2.11.5. Performance of top closed vs. open models on select benchmarks 147


Figure 2.12.1. Graph of Thoughts (GoT) reasoning flow 148


Figure 2.12.2. Number of errors in sorting tasks with ChatGPT-3.5 149


Figure 2.12.3. Sample OPRO prompts and optimization progress 150


Figure 2.12.4. Accuracy difference on 23 BIG-bench Hard (BBH) tasks using PaLM 2-L scorer 150


Figure 2.12.5. Model competitions based on 10,000 simulations using GPT-4 and the Vicuna benchmark 151


Figure 2.12.6. Flash-Decoding operation process 152


Figure 2.12.7. Performance comparison of multihead attention algorithms across batch sizes and sequence lengths 153


Figure 2.13.1. CO₂ equivalent emissions (tonnes) by select machine learning models and real-life examples, 2020-23 154


Figure 2.13.2. CO₂equivalent emissions (tonnes) and number of parameters by select machine learning models 155


Figure 2.13.3. nvironmental impact of select models 155


Figure 2.13.4. Carbon emissions by task during model inference 156


Figure 2.13.5. Positive AI environmental use cases 157


Figure 3.1.1. Responsible AI dimensions, definitions, and examples 163


Figure 3.1.2. Number of reported AI incidents, 2012-23 164


Figure 3.1.3. Tesla recognizing pedestrian but not slowing down at a crosswalk 165


Figure 3.1.4. Romantic chatbot generated by DALL-E 165


Figure 3.1.5. Relevance of selected responsible AI risks for organizations by region 166


Figure 3.1.6. Global responsible AI adoption by organizations by region 167


Figure 3.1.7. Average trustworthiness score across selected responsible AI dimensions 168


Figure 3.1.8. Number of papers mentioning select responsible AI benchmarks, 2020-23 169


Figure 3.1.9. Reported general benchmarks for popular foundation models 170


Figure 3.1.10. Reported responsible AI benchmarks for popular foundation models 171


Figure 3.2.1. AI privacy and data governance submissions to select academic conferences, 2019-23 173


Figure 3.2.2. Adoption of AI-related data governance measures by region 174


Figure 3.2.3. Adoption of AI-related data governance measures by industry 174


Figure 3.2.4. Extracting PII From ChatGPT 175


Figure 3.2.5. Recovered memorized output given different repeated tokens 176


Figure 3.2.6. Fraction of prompts discovering approximate memorization 177


Figure 3.2.7. Identical generation of Thanos 178


Figure 3.2.8. Identical generation of toys 178


Figure 3.2.9. Identical generation of Mario 178


Figure 3.2.10. Visualizing privacy-auditing in one training run 179


Figure 3.3.1. AI transparency and explainability submissions to select academic conferences, 2019-23 181


Figure 3.3.2. Adoption of AI-related transparency measures by region 182


Figure 3.3.3. Adoption of AI-related transparency measures by industry 182


Figure 3.3.4. Foundation model transparency total scores of open vs. closed developers, 2023 183


Figure 3.3.5. Levels of accessibility and release strategies of foundation models 184


Figure 3.3.6. Integrating neural network structures with symbolic representation 185


Figure 3.4.1. AI security and safety submissions to select academic conferences, 2019-23 187


Figure 3.4.2. Adoption of AI-related reliability measures by region 188


Figure 3.4.3. Adoption of AI-related reliability measures by industry 188


Figure 3.4.4. Adoption of AI-related cybersecurity measures by region 189


Figure 3.4.5. Adoption of AI-related cybersecurity measures by industry 189


Figure 3.4.6. Agreement with security statements 190


Figure 3.4.7. Harmful responses across different risk caregories by foundation model 191


Figure 3.4.8. Total number of harmful responses across different foundation models 192


Figure 3.4.9. Using suffixes to manipulate LLMs 193


Figure 3.4.10. Attack success rates of foundation models using different prompting techniques 194


Figure 3.4.11. Trade-offs on the MACHIAVELLI benchmark 195


Figure 3.4.12. Mean behavioral scores of AI agents across different categories 196


Figure 3.5.1. AI fairness and bias submissions to select academic conferences, 2019-23 197


Figure 3.5.2. Adoption of AI-related fairness measures by region 198


Figure 3.5.3. Adoption of AI-related fairness measures by industry 198


Figure 3.5.4. Number of runs (out of 5 total runs) with concerning race-based responses by large language model 199


Figure 3.5.5. Midjourney generation: "influential person" 200


Figure 3.5.6. Average image model bias scores for five widely used commercial image generation models 200


Figure 3.5.7. GlobalOpinionQA Dataset 201


Figure 3.5.8. Western-oriented bias in large language model responses 202


Figure 3.5.9. Context window 203


Figure 3.5.10. Variable language tokenization 203


Figure 3.5.11. Tokenization premium using XLM-RoBERTa and RoBERTa models by language 204


Figure 3.6.1. Potential uses of deepfakes 205


Figure 3.6.2. Progressive Slovakia leader Michal Šimečka 206


Figure 3.6.3. AI-based generation and dissemination pipeline 207


Figure 3.6.4. Generalizability of deepfake detectors to unseen datasets 208


Figure 3.6.5. Ethnic and gender distribution in FaceForensics++ training data 209


Figure 3.6.6. Default vs. political ChatGPT average agreement 210


Figure 3.6.7. Key research findings on audio deepfakes 211


Figure 3.6.8. AI usage, risks, and mitigation strategies in electoral processes 212


Figure 3.6.9. Assessments of AI integration and risks in electoral processes 212


Figure 4.1.1. InstaDeep acquired by BioNTech 218


Figure 4.1.2. Microsoft invests $10 billion in ChatGPT maker OpenAI 218


Figure 4.1.3. GitHub Copilot for Business becomes publicly available 218


Figure 4.1.4. Salesforce introduces Einstein GPT 218


Figure 4.1.5. Microsoft announces integration of GPT-4 into Office 365 219


Figure 4.1.6. Bloomberg announces LLM for finance 219


Figure 4.1.7. Adobe launches generative AI tools inside Photoshop 219


Figure 4.1.8. Cohere raises $270 million 219


Figure 4.1.9. Nvidia reaches $1 trillion valuation 220


Figure 4.1.10. Databricks buys MosaicML for $1.3 billion 220


Figure 4.1.11. Thomson Reuters acquires Casetext for $650 million 220


Figure 4.1.12. Inflection AI raises $1.3 billion from Bill Gates and Nvidia, among others 220


Figure 4.1.13. Hugging Face raises $235 million from investors 221


Figure 4.1.14. SAP introduces new generative AI assistant Joule 221


Figure 4.1.15. Amazon and Google make multibillion-dollar investments in Anthropic 221


Figure 4.1.16. Kai-Fu Lee launches OpenSource LLM 221


Figure 4.1.17. Sam Altman, OpenAI CEO, fired and then rehired 222


Figure 4.1.18. Mistral AI closes $415 million funding round 222


Figure 4.2.1. AI job postings (% of all job postings) by geographic area, 2014-23 223


Figure 4.2.2. AI job postings (% of all job postings) in the United States by skill cluster, 2010-23 224


Figure 4.2.3. Top 10 specialized skills in 2023 AI job postings in the United States, 2011-13 vs. 2023 225


Figure 4.2.4. Generative AI skills in AI job postings in the United States, 2023 226


Figure 4.2.5. Share of generative AI skills in AI job postings in the United States, 2023 227


Figure 4.2.6. AI job postings (% of all job postings) in the United States by sector, 2022 vs. 2023 228


Figure 4.2.7. Number of AI job postings in the United States by state, 2023 229


Figure 4.2.8. Percentage of US states job postings in AI, 2023 229


Figure 4.2.9. Percentage of US AI job postings by state, 2023 230


Figure 4.2.10. Percentage of US states' job postings in AI by select US state, 2010-23 230


Figure 4.2.11. Percentage of US AI job postings by select US state, 2010-23 231


Figure 4.2.12. Relative AI hiring rate year-over-year ratio by geographic area, 2023 232


Figure 4.2.13. Relative AI hiring rate year-over-year ratio by geographic area, 2018-23 233


Figure 4.2.14. Relative AI skill penetration rate by geographic area, 2015-23 234


Figure 4.2.15. Relative AI skill penetration rate across gender, 2015-23 235


Figure 4.2.16. AI talent concentration by geographic area, 2023 236


Figure 4.2.17. Percentage change in AI talent concentration by geographic area, 2016 vs. 2023 236


Figure 4.2.18. AI talent concentration by gender, 2016-23 237


Figure 4.2.19. Net AI talent migration per 10,000 LinkedIn members by geographic area, 2023 238


Figure 4.2.20. Net AI talent migration per 10,000 LinkedIn members by geographic area, 2019-23 239


Figure 4.2.21. Median yearly salary by professional developer type, 2023 241


Figure 4.3.1. Global corporate investment in AI by investment activity, 2013-23 242


Figure 4.3.2. Private investment in AI, 2013-23 243


Figure 4.3.3. Private investment in generative AI, 2019-23 244


Figure 4.3.4. Number of newly funded AI companies in the world, 2013-23 245


Figure 4.3.5. Average size of AI private investment events, 2013-23 245


Figure 4.3.6. Number of newly funded generative AI companies in the world, 2019-23 246


Figure 4.3.7. AI private investment events by funding size, 2022 vs. 2023 246


Figure 4.3.8. Private investment in AI by geographic area, 2023 247


Figure 4.3.9. Private investment in AI by geographic area, 2013-23 (sum) 248


Figure 4.3.10. Private investment in AI by geographic area, 2013-23 249


Figure 4.3.11. Private investment in generative AI by geographic area, 2019-23 250


Figure 4.3.12. Number of newly funded AI companies by geographic area, 2023 251


Figure 4.3.13. Number of newly funded AI companies by geographic area, 2013-23 (sum) 252


Figure 4.3.14. Number of newly funded AI companies by geographic area, 2013-23 253


Figure 4.3.15. Private investment in AI by focus area, 2022 vs. 2023 254


Figure 4.3.16. Private investment in AI by focus area, 2017-23 255


Figure 4.3.17. Private investment in AI by focus area and geographic area, 2017-23 257


Figure 4.4.1. Share of respondents who say their organizations have adopted AI in at least one function, 2017-23 258


Figure 4.4.2. Most commonly adopted AI use cases by function, 2023 259


Figure 4.4.3. AI capabilities embedded in at least one function or business unit, 2023 260


Figure 4.4.4. AI adoption by industry and function, 2023 261


Figure 4.4.5. Percentage point change in responses of AI adoption by industry and function, 2022 vs. 2023 262


Figure 4.4.6. AI-related roles that organizations hired in the last year by industry, 2023 263


Figure 4.4.7. Cost decrease and revenue increase from AI adoption by function, 2022 264


Figure 4.4.8. AI adoption by organizations in the world, 2022 vs. 2023 265


Figure 4.4.9. Most commonly adopted generative AI use cases by function, 2023 266


Figure 4.4.10. AI vs. generative AI adoption by function, 2023 267


Figure 4.4.11. Generative AI adoption by organizations in the world, 2023 268


Figure 4.4.12. Most popular AI developer tools among professional developers, 2023 269


Figure 4.4.13. Most popular AI search tools among professional developers, 2023 269


Figure 4.4.14. Top 10 most popular cloud platforms among professional developers, 2023 270


Figure 4.4.15. Adoption of AI tools in development tasks, 2023 270


Figure 4.4.16. Primary benefits of AI tools for professional developers, 2023 271


Figure 4.4.17. Sentiment toward AI tools in development among professional developers, 2023 271


Figure 4.4.18. Trust level in AI tool output accuracy, 2023 271


Figure 4.4.19. Cross-study comparison of task completion speed of Copilot users 272


Figure 4.4.20. Effect of GPT-4 use on a group of consultants 273


Figure 4.4.21. Impact of AI on customer support agents 273


Figure 4.4.22. Effect of GPT-4 use on legal analysis by task 274


Figure 4.4.23. Comparison of AI work performance effect by worker skill category 275


Figure 4.4.24. Effects on job performance of receiving different types of AI advice 276


Figure 4.4.25. Number of Fortune 500 earnings calls mentioning AI, 2018-23 277


Figure 4.4.26. Themes of AI mentions in Fortune 500 earnings calls, 2018 vs. 2023 278


Figure 4.4.27. Anticipated impact of generative AI on revenue by industry, 2023 279


Figure 4.4.28. Expectations about the impact of AI on organizations' workforces in the next 3 years, 2023 280


Figure 4.4.29. Anticipated effect of generative AI on number of employees in the next 3 years by business function, 2023 281


Figure 4.4.30. Estimated impact of AI adoption on annual productivity growth over a ten-year period 282


Figure 4.5.1. Number of industrial robots installed in the world, 2012-22 283


Figure 4.5.2. Operational stock of industrial robots in the world, 2012-22 284


Figure 4.5.3. Number of industrial robots installed in the world by type, 2017-22 285


Figure 4.5.4. Number of industrial robots installed by country, 2022 286


Figure 4.5.5. Number of new industrial robots installed in top 5 countries, 2012-22 287


Figure 4.5.6. Number of industrial robots installed (China vs. rest of the world), 2016-22 288


Figure 4.5.7. Annual growth rate of industrial robots installed by country, 2021 vs. 2022 289


Figure 4.5.8. Number of professional service robots installed in the world by application area, 2021 vs. 2022 290


Figure 4.5.9. Number of professional service robot manufacturers in top countries by type of company, 2022 291


Figure 4.5.10. Number of industrial robots installed in the world by sector, 2020-22 292


Figure 4.5.11. Number of industrial robots installed in the world by application, 2020-22 293


Figure 4.5.12. Number of industrial robots installed in China by sector, 2020-22 294


Figure 4.5.13. Number of industrial robots installed in the United States by sector, 2020-22 295


Figure 5.1.1. AlphaDev vs. human benchmarks when optimizing for algorithm length 300


Figure 5.1.2. Sample FlexiCubes surface reconstructions 301


Figure 5.1.3. Select quantitative results on 3D mesh reconstruction 302


Figure 5.1.4. Synbot design 303


Figure 5.1.5. Reaction kinetics of M1 autonomous optimization experiment, Synbot vs. reference 303


Figure 5.1.6. GraphCast weather prediction 304


Figure 5.1.7. Ten-day z500 forecast skill: GraphCast vs. HRES 304


Figure 5.1.8. Sample material structures 305


Figure 5.1.9. GNoME vs. Materials Project: stable crystal count 305


Figure 5.1.10. GNoME vs. Materials Project: distinct prototypes 305


Figure 5.1.11. Predictions of AI model vs. GloFAS across return periods 306


Figure 5.2.1. SynthSR generations 307


Figure 5.2.2. SynthSR correlation with ground-truth volumes on select brain regions 308


Figure 5.2.3. ImmunoSEIRA detection principle and the setup 309


Figure 5.2.4. Deep neural network predicted vs. actual fibrils percetages in test samples 309


Figure 5.2.5. EVEscape design 310


Figure 5.2.6. EVEscape vs. other models on SARS-CoV-2 RBD mutation prediction 311


Figure 5.2.7. Hemaglobin subunit beta (HBB) 312


Figure 5.2.8. AlphaMissense predictions 312


Figure 5.2.9. Graph genome for the MHC region of the genome 313


Figure 5.2.10. Ensembl mapping pipeline results 313


Figure 5.2.11. MedQA: accuracy 314


Figure 5.2.12. GPT-4 vs. Med-PaLM 2 answering a medical question 315


Figure 5.2.13. Model performance on MultiMedQA sub-benchmarks 316


Figure 5.2.14. Performance of select models on MedQA 317


Figure 5.2.15. CoDoC vs. standalone predictive AI system and clinical readers: sensitivity 318


Figure 5.2.16. PANDA detection 319


Figure 5.2.17. PANDA vs. mean radiologist on multicenter validation (6,239 patients) 319


Figure 5.2.18. PANDA performance on real-world multi-scenario validation (20,530 patients) 319


Figure 5.2.19. Additional research on diagnostic AI use cases 320


Figure 5.2.20. Number of AI medical devices approved by the FDA, 2012-22 321


Figure 5.2.21. Number of AI medical devices approved by the FDA by specialty, 2012-22 322


Figure 5.2.22. MedAlign workflow 323


Figure 5.2.23. Evaluation of model performance: human vs. COMET ranks 324


Figure 6.1.1. New CS bachelor's graduates in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 329


Figure 6.1.2. New international CS bachelor's graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 330


Figure 6.1.3. New CS master's graduates in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 331


Figure 6.1.4. New international CS master's graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 332


Figure 6.1.5. New CS PhD graduates in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 333


Figure 6.1.6. New international CS PhD graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 334


Figure 6.1.7. Employment of new AI PhDs (% of total) in the United States and Canada by sector, 2010-22 335


Figure 6.1.8. Employment of new AI PhDs in the United States and Canada by sector, 2010-22 335


Figure 6.1.9. Number of CS, CE, and information faculty in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 336


Figure 6.1.10. Number of CS faculty in the United States, 2011-22 337


Figure 6.1.11. New CS, CE, and information faculty hires in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 338


Figure 6.1.12. Source of new faculty in American and Canadian CS, CE, and information departments, 2018-22 339


Figure 6.1.13. Reason why new CS, CE, and information faculty positions remained unfilled (% of total), 2011-22 340


Figure 6.1.14. Faculty losses in American and Canadian CS, CE, and information departments, 2011-22 341


Figure 6.1.15. Median nine-month salary of CS faculty in the United States, 2015-22 342


Figure 6.1.16. New international CS, CE, and information tenure-track faculty hires (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 343


Figure 6.1.17. New informatics, CS, CE, and IT bachelor's graduates by country in Europe, 2022 344


Figure 6.1.18. Percentage change of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT bachelor's graduates by country in Europe, 2012 vs. 2022 345


Figure 6.1.19. New informatics, CS, CE, and IT bachelor's graduates per 100,000 inhabitants by country in Europe, 2022 346


Figure 6.1.20. Percentage change of new CS, CE, and Information bachelor's graduates per 100,000 inhabitants by country in Europe, 2012 vs. 2022 346


Figure 6.1.21. New informatics, CS, CE, and IT master's graduates by country in Europe, 2022 347


Figure 6.1.22. Percentage change of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT master's graduates by country in Europe, 2012 vs. 2022 348


Figure 6.1.23. New informatics, CS, CE, and IT master's graduates per 100,000 inhabitants by country in Europe, 2022 349


Figure 6.1.24. Percentage change of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT master's graduates per 100,000 inhabitants by country in Europe, 2012 vs. 2022 350


Figure 6.1.25. New informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD graduates by country in Europe, 2022 351


Figure 6.1.26. Percentage change of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD graduates by country in Europe, 2012 vs. 2022 352


Figure 6.1.27. New informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD graduates per 100,000 inhabitants by country in Europe, 2022 353


Figure 6.1.28. Percentage change of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD graduates per 100,000 inhabitants by country in Europe, 2012 vs. 2022 354


Figure 6.1.29. Number of AI university study programs in English in the world, 2017-23 355


Figure 6.1.30. AI university study programs in English (% of total) by education level, 2023 356


Figure 6.1.31. Number of AI university study programs in English by geographic area, 2022 vs. 2023 357


Figure 6.1.32. AI university study programs in English per 100,000 inhabitants by geographic area, 2022 vs. 2023 358


Figure 6.2.1. States requiring that all high schools offer a foundational CS course, 2023 359


Figure 6.2.2. Public high schools teaching foundational CS (% of total in state), 2023 359


Figure 6.2.3. Changes over time in state-level US K-12 CS education 360


Figure 6.2.4. Number of AP computer science exams taken, 2007-22 361


Figure 6.2.5. Number of AP computer science exams taken, 2022 362


Figure 6.2.6. Number of AP computer science exams taken per 100,000 inhabitants, 2022 362


Figure 6.2.7. Schools offering foundational CS courses by size, 2023 363


Figure 6.2.8. Schools offering foundational CS courses by geographic area, 2023 363


Figure 6.2.9. ChatGPT usage rate among American K-12 teachers, 2023 364


Figure 6.2.10. ChatGPT usage purposes among American K-12 teachers, 2023 364


Figure 6.2.11. ChatGPT perceptions among educational users, 2023 365


Figure 7.1.1. China introduces regulation on administration of deep synthesis of the internet 370


Figure 7.1.2. U.S. legislators propose AI for National Security Act 370


Figure 7.1.3. U.S. policymakers introduce AI Leadership Training Act 371


Figure 7.1.4. U.S. policymakers propose National AI Commission Act 371


Figure 7.1.5. House of Representatives advances Jobs of the Future Act 371


Figure 7.1.6. U.S. Senate puts forward Artificial Intelligence and Biosecurity Risk Assessment Act 372


Figure 7.1.7. Private AI labs sign voluntary White House AI commitments 372


Figure 7.1.8. U.S. Senate passes Outbound Investment Transparency Act 372


Figure 7.1.9. U.S. Senate proposes CREATE AI Act 373


Figure 7.1.10. China updates cyberspace administration of generative AI measures 373


Figure 7.1.11. U.S. Senate puts forward Protect Elections from Deceptive AI Act 373


Figure 7.1.12. U.K. proposes principles to guide competitive AI markets and protect consumers 374


Figure 7.1.13. President Biden issues Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy AI 374


Figure 7.1.14. Frontier AI taskforce releases second progress report 374


Figure 7.1.15. U.K. hosts AI Safety Summit (2023) 375


Figure 7.1.16. U.K. announces AI Safety Institute 375


Figure 7.1.17. Europeans reach deal on EU AI Act 375


Figure 7.2.1. Number of AI-related bills passed into law by country, 2016-23 376


Figure 7.2.2. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in 128 select countries, 2016-23 377


Figure 7.2.3. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in select countries, 2023 378


Figure 7.2.4. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in select countries, 2016-23 (sum) 378


Figure 7.2.5. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in select countries by relevance to AI, 2016-23 379


Figure 7.2.6. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in select countries by approach, 2016-23 380


Figure 7.2.7. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in select countries by primary subject matter, 2016-23 381


Figure 7.2.8. Number of AI-related bills in the United States, 2016-23 (proposed vs. passed) 382


Figure 7.2.9. Number of AI-related bills passed into law in select US states, 2023 383


Figure 7.2.10. Number of state-level AI-related bills passed into law in the United States by state, 2016-23 (sum) 383


Figure 7.2.11. Number of state-level AI-related bills in the United States, 2016-23 (proposed vs. passed) 384


Figure 7.2.12. Number of mentions of AI in legislative proceedings in 80 select countries, 2016-23 385


Figure 7.2.13. Number of mentions of AI in legislative proceedings by country, 2023 386


Figure 7.2.14. Number of mentions of AI in legislative proceedings by country, 2016-23 (sum) 387


Figure 7.2.15. Mentions of AI in US committee reports by legislative session, 2001-23 388


Figure 7.2.16. Mentions of AI in committee reports of the US House of Representatives for the 118th congressional session, 2023 389


Figure 7.2.17. Mentions of AI in committee reports of the US Senate for the 118th congressional session, 2023 389


Figure 7.2.18. Mentions of AI in committee reports of the US House of Representatives, 2001-23 (sum) 390


Figure 7.2.19. Mentions of AI in committee reports of the US Senate, 2001-23 (sum) 390


Figure 7.3.1. Countries with a national strategy on AI, 2023 391


Figure 7.3.2. AI national strategies in development by country and year 392


Figure 7.3.3. Yearly release of AI national strategies by country 392


Figure 7.4.1. Number of AI-related regulations in the United States, 2016-23 393


Figure 7.4.2. Number of AI-related regulations in the United States by relevance to AI, 2016-23 394


Figure 7.4.3. Number of AI-related regulations in the United States by agency, 2016-23 395


Figure 7.4.4. Number of AI-related regulations in the United States by approach, 2016-23 396


Figure 7.4.5. Number of AI-related regulations in the United States by primary subject matter, 2016-23 397


Figure 7.4.6. Number of AI-related regulations in the European Union, 2017-23 398


Figure 7.4.7. Number of AI-related regulations in the European Union by relevance to AI, 2017-23 399


Figure 7.4.8. Number of AI-related regulations in the European Union by institution and body, 2017-23 400


Figure 7.4.9. Number of AI-related regulations in the European Union by approach, 2017-23 401


Figure 7.4.10. Number of AI-related regulations in the European Union by primary subject matter, 2017-23 402


Figure 7.5.1. US federal NITRD budget for AI, FY 2018-24 403


Figure 7.5.2. US governmental agency NITRD budgets for AI, FY 2021-24 404


Figure 7.5.3. US DoD budget request for AI-specific research, development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E), FY 2020-24 405


Figure 7.5.4. US government spending in AI/ML and autonomy by segment, FY 2018-23 406


Figure 7.5.5. US government spending in AI/ML and autonomy by segment, FY 2022 vs. 2023 407


Figure 7.5.6. Total value of contracts, grants, and OTAs awarded by the US government for AI/ML and autonomy, FY 2018-23 408


Figure 7.5.7. US government spending in microelectronics by segment, FY 2018-23 409


Figure 7.5.8. Total value of contracts, grants, and OTAs awarded by the US government for microelectronics, FY 2018-23 410


Figure 8.1.1. Gender of new CS bachelor's graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 415


Figure 8.1.2. Ethnicity of new resident CS bachelor's graduates in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 416


Figure 8.1.3. Ethnicity of new resident CS bachelor's graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 416


Figure 8.1.4. Gender of new CS master's graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 417


Figure 8.1.5. Ethnicity of new resident CS master's graduates in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 418


Figure 8.1.6. Ethnicity of new resident CS master's graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 418


Figure 8.1.7. Gender of new CS PhD graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2010-22 419


Figure 8.1.8. Ethnicity of new resident CS PhD graduates in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 420


Figure 8.1.9. Ethnicity of new resident CS PhD graduates (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 420


Figure 8.1.10. CS, CE, and information students (% of total) with disability accomodations in United States and Canada, 2021 vs. 2022 421


Figure 8.1.11. Gender of CS, CE, and information faculty (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 422


Figure 8.1.12. Gender of new CS, CE, and information faculty hires (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 423


Figure 8.1.13. Ethnicity of resident CS, CE, and information faculty in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 424


Figure 8.1.14. Ethnicity of resident CS, CE, and information faculty (% of total) in the United States and Canada, 2011-22 424


Figure 8.1.15. Gender of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT bachelor's graduates (% of total) in Europe, 2011-22 426


Figure 8.1.16. Gender of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT master's graduates (% of total) in Europe, 2011-22 427


Figure 8.1.17. Gender of new informatics, CS, CE, and IT PhD graduates (% of total) in Europe, 2011-22 428


Figure 8.2.1. Attendance at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning workshop, 2010-23 429


Figure 8.2.2. Attendance at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning workshop (% of total), 2010-23 429


Figure 8.2.3. Continent of residence of participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning workshop, 2022 vs. 2023 430


Figure 8.2.4. Gender breakdown of participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning workshop, 2022 vs. 2023 431


Figure 8.3.1. AP computer science exams taken (% of total) by gender, 2007-22 432


Figure 8.3.2. AP computer science exams taken by female students (% of total), 2022 433


Figure 8.3.3. AP computer science exams taken by race/ethnicity, 2007-22 434


Figure 8.3.4. AP computer science exams taken (% of total responding students) by race/ethnicity, 2007-22 434


Figure 9.1.1. Global opinions on products and services using AI (% of total), 2022 vs. 2023 439


Figure 9.1.2. 'Products and services using AI have more benefits than drawbacks, 'by country (% of total), 2022 vs. 2023 441


Figure 9.1.3. Opinions about AI by country (% agreeing with statement), 2023 442


Figure 9.1.4. Percentage point change in opinions about AI by country (% agreeing with statement), 2022-23 443


Figure 9.1.5. Global opinions on the impact of AI on current jobs, 2023 444


Figure 9.1.6. Global opinions on the impact of AI on current jobs by demographic group, 2023 445


Figure 9.1.7. Global opinions on the potential of AI improving life by country, 2023 446


Figure 9.1.8. Global opinions on the potential of AI improving life by demographic group, 2023 447


Figure 9.1.9. Global awareness of ChatGPT (% of total), 2023 449


Figure 9.1.10. Global usage frequency of ChatGPT (% of total), 2023 450


Figure 9.1.11. Global concerns on the impacts of AI in the next few years, 2023 451


Figure 9.1.12. Americans' feelings toward increased use of AI in daily life (% of total), 2021-23 452


Figure 9.1.13. Americans' opinions of whether AI helps or hurts in specific settings (% of total), 2023 452


Figure 9.1.14. Differences in Americans' view of AI's impact by education level (% of total), 2023 453


Figure 9.2.1. Net sentiment score of AI models by quarter, 2023 454


Figure 9.2.2. Select models' share of AI social media attention by quarter, 2023 455


해시태그

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