□ 전력 수요의 ‘전기화 시대(Age of Electricity)’가 본격화되면서 2026~2030년 세계 전력수요는 연평균 약 3.6% 증가할 것으로 전망된다.
ㅇ 산업 전기화, 전기차 확산, 냉방 수요 증가, 데이터센터 확대가 주요 요인으로 지목되며, 선진국에서도 전력 수요가 다시 증가하는 추세이다.
ㅇ 2030년에는 재생에너지와 원자력이 세계 전력 생산의 약 절반을 차지할 것으로 예상되며, 이에 따라 전력 부문의 탄소 배출은 대체로 정체될 것으로 전망된다.
ㅇ 다만 송전망 병목과 계통 유연성 부족, 2500GW 이상의 전력망 연결 대기 프로젝트가 주요 제약 요인으로 지적되며, 전력망 투자 확대와 배터리·수요반응 확대, 규제 개혁의 필요성이 강조된다.
목차
Executive Summary 8
Demand 13
The Age of Electricity has arrived, underpinned by strong demand growth 13
Demand in advanced economies rebounds after a long period of stagnation 13
Electricity consumption set to rise strongly across all sectors 15
Electricity demand breaks with history, outpacing global GDP growth16
US and EU electricity demand forecast to post robust growth 18
Per capita electricity consumption will reach new record highs 19
China’s electricity demand on a solid growth path 21
Peak load and demand rise across India 27
Supply 36
Renewables and nuclear keep growing and setting records 36
Share of renewables and nuclear in global generation to reach 50% by 2030 36
Growth in renewables, natural gas and nuclear to meet additional demand 37
Uncharacteristic trends in coal-fired generation during 2025 39
Strong solar PV growth remains a common trend across the regions 41
Grids 46
Grids are emerging as a bottleneck for connecting supply, demand and storage 46
Grid technologies and regulatory reforms unlock grid capacity 46
Record-high connection queues and rising curtailment as grids become congested 49
More efficient use of grids via targeted regulatory and policy frameworks 51
Grid-enhancing technology unlocks capacity 64
Synchronisation of Baltic electricity system marked a major milestone 69
Flexibility 72
Evolving generation and demand patterns reshape power system needs 72
Demand response offers breakthrough benefits, yet potential is untapped 72
Solar PV capture rates decline, but storage can boost system value 81
Utility-scale batteries are strengthening system flexibility 84
Managing high solar and wind output during low demand 97
Emissions 105
Electricity sector emissions are increasingly decoupling from demand growth 105
CO2 emissions from electricity generation are forecast to plateau through 2030 105
Global CO2 intensity decline accelerates as low-carbon energy expands 106
Prices 109
Affordability and competitiveness take centre stage 109
Wholesale electricity prices continue to differ across regions 109
Negative wholesale pricing trends diverged across markets in 2025 112
Price gaps for energy-intensive industries persist 113
Residential electricity prices remain elevated 117
Reliability 123
Largescale outages amid system instability and weather impacts 123
Voltage management increasingly important for power system stability 123
Major power supply disruptions triggered by equipment failures 124
Extreme weather events continued to cause major power outages 125
Regional Focus 128
Asia Pacific 129
Electricity demand to increase strongly after mild weather tempered growth 129
Americas 153
Solar PV and natural gas-fired generation see strong growth through 2030 153
Europe 168
Power demand is increasingly met by renewables while coal use falls rapidly 168
Eurasia 192
Russian electricity demand contracted, while regional growth stable in 2025 192
Middle East 195
Gas-fired generation rises rapidly while renewables post sharp gains 195
Africa 204
Growth supported by targeted efforts to expand electricity access 204
Annexes 216
Summary tables 216
Regional and country groupings 221
Abbreviations and acronyms 223
Units of measure 223
해시태그
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AI 요약·번역·분석 서비스
AI를 활용한 보고서 요약·번역과 실시간 질의응답 서비스입니다.
Electricity 2026: Analysis and forecast to 2030
(세계전력시장 전망 2026: 2030년까지의 분석과 전망)
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